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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。0 F' u0 X7 o* _+ o$ o/ N) L6 K
x! I- @8 Z# G( N4 d这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。
5 X* N( O. L9 e6 M; v) v& p然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车9 A" W2 M1 k8 P9 Y$ Y
. a/ ^- T5 j; s/ Q! m: l: H和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。
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8 }/ a4 ~" i" P/ u$ s+ k9 }5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛; W _2 r/ \% B
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市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能
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3 ^$ T5 E# c' G7 u) l延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。1 e0 @, ?) r! \. D9 k/ c/ r6 W
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如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。
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8 Y* _$ r' ?% T& W! G1 D, r从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密* s- ~& [. f- `9 Q* f' z
2 ^5 ^, u& a/ t) T }) b& h2 ]
集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目
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* l( _2 T0 ^+ E0 _1 ?8 a- c前并无强压。
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