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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。
* y( p8 Q* C3 }/ ^; R- u4 k现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
% k) r0 d0 y( P& C7 O: h1 {% X# S q& \在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。' P, H2 v" t! t9 h' T
5 J9 |/ @% o- `" ^* u尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
% S2 e9 T/ W4 G+ W; p, o- V$ `' C
' O# K- }4 i0 e1 @- {1 ^* x: j长期持有者没有抛售迹象
/ X F( O. ^, Q- f0 k! h比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。. f1 ]3 T, c, C
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值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
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5 a4 ]1 R) X- [3 P4 A截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。) T: D; h& m9 L8 B
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
, v0 j2 A; u$ M; i( u4 N& `% K6 G' ]& a% Y
AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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# t. t8 n- F- I* O% r' H现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降- u& w3 w r& z) k# a* p- m4 Y
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。; i2 }; X1 T" ^/ d/ i
. ~. @; n$ _# h! @# x1 z过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。7 ~' } v4 I4 q
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。) @, j& F5 f2 [
! L. J- ^- z2 c/ f问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？' I% D% I q0 S2 H" E
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。% e& V, f3 D4 y! V7 n
" x' h! j7 W5 M
当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。; I% L% K/ W$ X& U/ d/ |
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。. A) t7 G& o a
9 b) |2 O# }& v当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。4 \; j% \1 z8 f
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