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[lastpost] => 2785583 从恐慌到布局：比特币巨鲸如何为12月做好准备（转） 1764518728 jackcool1011
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调整来临？今日，比特币突然跳水，此前大涨的黄金与日本股市也有所回落。/ |, G# R$ ]$ t7 U2 @
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截至发稿， 比特币跌幅超0.8%，跌破124000美元。以太坊、雪崩币等加密货币也纷纷走低。1 c1 A u% N- |3 f5 s% g8 h1 g
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/ ]7 M' E! k6 ?8 K& Q7 v Coinglass网站数据显示，过去24小时内，虚拟货币共有超16万人爆仓。( G! q2 }# A5 Z% x8 f0 v
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7 g6 q, U& T7 ]& `3 h8 T 此前比特币已连续上涨，昨日，比特币一度冲高至126199美元左右，事实上，随着美联储降息周期开启，美元持续走弱，黄金、比特币等资产纷纷被抢购。今日，纽约期金一度涨至4000美元，不过，当前已有所回落。# t8 z3 H* c+ F
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此外，美国ZF“关门”持续，日本与法国政坛的变动也导致避险资产更受青睐。
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不过，对于黄金等资产的暴涨，美国银行认为技术性调整或将来临。5 L$ R* b+ u/ n1 j! p
. ~4 l$ L3 H& W |5 v6 b 美国银行分析师Paul Ciana在一份研究报告中表示，从技术分析来看，随着金价逼近每盎司4000美元关口，其上涨趋势已显现“动能耗尽”的迹象。这位首席技术策略师指出，若此趋势延续，金价可能在第四季度进入盘整或回调阶段。* A) y5 x* i; D: \& C+ p. a2 g
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Ciana称：“从趋势跟踪与风险管理角度出发，目前更适合上调止损位、进行对冲操作，或减少部分多头持仓。”他进一步补充，黄金涨势可能“动能耗尽”的信号包括：当前金价较其200日简单移动平均线高出约21%——而金价在该均线* C+ L, U+ o0 W6 j- p2 @
0 z9 C5 R5 |! Q; I( y以上21%的位置往往容易出现峰值，若涨幅接近25%，峰值出现的概率会更高。: D. ?$ l; H1 m6 W3 k% Z! c6 z
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在今日股市方面，虽然亚太主要股指收盘多数上涨。但日经225指数尾盘回落仅涨0.01%报47950.88点，此前一度涨破48500点。
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权重股方面，丰田汽车涨1.65%，KDDI电信涨1.44%，软银集团涨1.11%；日本电气跌2.93%，TOKYO ELECTRON跌1.57%，迅销跌1.28%。澳洲标普200指数跌0.21%报8956.80点。新西兰标普50指数涨0.31%报13531.290点。
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市场情绪转凉一瞬间，该来的回调还是来了。" t. {/ w( c% ~. v9 ^' e
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