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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
" q% v7 A3 U) E9 `% s' p* u: q, y' c9 K1 B& ?$ }8 d) f. j" E" ~
5. 废话的不对称原则
7 {& Z( C& R2 ^! X反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。2 _( \8 Y/ ~ H) G8 e5 A: P
/ U5 b4 O5 L6 z0 I: w
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。5 X* s) j$ V5 B2 r2 Y1 q
$ u2 H9 {# v, H写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
" V7 |$ ?/ S" W6 t
' Z5 J" s, y; X每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
/ q, {, f6 D2 z, H3 R
; U; [8 t; e/ F) Y: _0 R而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
3 x4 v" Z" b; F# t7 \# d: N
6 h: l% q& s% g+ ^4 C. b6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)7 X) d @' i# D1 r& ~1 |
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。8 w7 Y3 A( H3 X- [
: H! F! N9 M% E9 ~1 d" h; g2 |) R1 ?
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。+ [# t# l7 c- r* ^0 w
0 V8 }/ _% H" M" [- i) m6 F
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。4 @! Y- P" d; ]0 K* l5 T: I
8 k2 V; z3 w, O; Z想象一下罕见事件:
; B9 q) K' x$ p! f( A& \: G1 I* f8 t. `! b' d
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒6 P( v0 U: R" r1 I* S
* k* {1 a1 s9 V• 核打击" r+ g- P5 D1 H( R- u4 c$ q* Y5 K
/ R; f3 m! U# b* m* G6 _
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
9 b+ h @5 H V r" u: b m% ^0 d+ _1 \8 |1 |4 {$ M3 U
7.二八定律
1 s6 y, f/ @) L. ~* r2 j& k在币圈:- T+ i$ ^; k4 \
8 _9 b( V, P6 m: o: W80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
o$ {. h# r; L* w; U/ P
3 a7 t$ p4 O3 @$ h80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
3 ?% x5 f6 {- J8 j4 K2 U$ U/ x/ n6 y$ _
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
3 ]! d( a: T7 W$ C" k( U
# _9 ?! u# z& l: m( Y# C# W5 ]8.网络效应1 G; r3 }+ @9 C7 m% M$ ?+ @- ?! k
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
9 G" J4 }- d+ X: u
, t9 }. F/ f8 ^4 R9 P& I" t想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?2 L8 X8 k( z8 y
8 t0 s9 K M o2 H) Y一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
% {% K$ i0 y0 P, J/ c! Z7 O1 c ^" D+ @: y
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。( `$ Q2 L u1 \
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