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[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
/ S! F9 F) W0 X: }: ~, ]
" ^0 L9 ~% p. W* D: b, }5. 废话的不对称原则
4 k7 C1 H( C. | A h反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。) c1 u/ s( t7 F L A
- J- Q$ [- ^5 L: `& Q: M6 y- m7 i回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
$ j8 E& B5 n4 {) K4 P. v
2 W' t8 J8 Z5 c: f, ?写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
; T! b0 Z! D2 m) `2 \/ M1 a+ X" u" C' w& y' Y$ P4 T( M
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
6 B( W# {. l+ }7 f T5 @
" G3 o4 d! p- n而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
' j% P) ~- d! `- @* r' t+ T6 f. k1 c
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
# o6 x! }: ?0 V, l7 H被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
2 I# V7 r0 d! j- [; V2 a7 l
7 a5 S- y) z) V" x1 n6 m不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。3 l0 p& a7 H0 g; Z2 n' c" n
5 \0 @+ ^& z1 y3 k2 o9 m$ [因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
3 K3 q1 ^0 ^! }8 h! r' [
: }! y( T0 D$ K n" p2 ^0 B( ~想象一下罕见事件:5 P4 j. t; [" W5 }
7 \ ?( G- A3 H& q* {
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
4 F/ Y# h2 x; T& |! c7 }, s& C E$ s; _* \- t: N
• 核打击 |$ `& j, n9 a( z! R0 Q
! U! S2 y: d% F: @9 z7 M. H8 G% Y
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
\( G0 k$ t, t1 q& C7 \! p" b! D; Y& J8 h$ m6 p& M
7.二八定律
/ X( F: {/ `& F0 `在币圈:2 c/ |/ I" B' F0 {
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80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
" |& u$ z2 D3 m! u0 A
$ \9 ^0 s3 \9 J& h! c3 @- W80%的利润被20%的人拿走。0 D/ V+ K. R5 A1 A: J
& P. ~2 l5 ^) k! g6 _1 o我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。9 n" `5 l) ^8 v( b% V5 ?
+ q' g' g/ X8 O! l/ G. a
8.网络效应5 l- a1 p. d5 s8 U0 H' @8 _) K5 m
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
- Z( Q3 j9 p5 z3 }, A; H. r
2 |4 [3 o, n5 @! n# Y想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?( a( t) |! T& B8 F- ~) v
' y" T: ] y6 o l7 V
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
8 m# l4 k6 Q4 ?8 O; ]' h$ |! p% \, u7 S! b
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。 i6 S' [+ X4 N
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