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[虚拟币交流] 比特币减半后若币价低于3万美元 大量矿企将巨额亏损（转载）
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1#
比特币区块奖励每四年减半一直被市场认为是牛市启动的催化剂，许多人认为跟着这个
5 w" f& P& K# T5 X# x9 L叙事投资大盘是稳健的，但对于比特币矿工来说，挖矿的电力、设备成本和区块奖励之间的权衡就更为复杂。
* b9 q' x% d3 y2 P9 ]1 i% K比特币减半，矿企成本将翻倍; m! E( |  p9 A+ ?1 Q" P
目前，每个区块的奖励是6.25个BTC(价值约170,000美元)，而到2024年4月，这个奖励将对折减少到3.125个
9 ~1 w; I' k0 I$ m+ d4 rBTC(价值约85,000美元)。
* s$ J" ^* i7 o6 ?  ?, sBlocksbridge挖矿咨询公司的研究主管Wolfie Zhao表示，目前上市的矿企每挖掘一个比特币的成本为10,000-$ U, s3 ^  w$ T( h1 r
15,000美元。一旦减半发生，这些成本将翻倍，使得矿工的收支平衡点达到20,000-30,000美元。
, ?6 j$ c7 {' Q" |% y7 g根据Zhao整理第一季的数据，Stronghold Digital Mining(SDIG)、Cipher Mining(CIFR)和Riot. c3 P1 I$ j" Z9 `; p% O2 p
Platforms(RIOT)的生产成本最低，Stronghold每个比特币的成本为8,200美元，Cipher为8,600美元，Riot为
4 F( M: {* p( f6 Y! B4 s10,400美元。. x7 R+ Y! v. I: ]( @7 l& Z& y3 O+ T2 ^
假设减半后比特币价格没有明显的上升，未来只有成本最低的矿工才能存活下去，其他矿企无可避免的面临到越
4 j. Z. E4 g* b挖越亏的地步。TeraWulf(WULF)的营运战略长Kerri Langlais表示：在减半之后，能源成本和设备效率将决定谁
! k1 ^# {2 Q1 N是赢家和输家。9 s* N# ^# F' s$ A( l- H
比特币挖矿成本是贵金属两倍/ ~9 _# K7 l5 j5 l) [! t* B% u- k
挖矿服务提供商Luxor Technologies的分析师Jaran Mellerud认为现在这个时机点对于矿企来说是充满不确定性* M+ w6 i( _9 u. n9 a3 D
的，需要衡量是否要扩增新设备，而相对于其他行业，挖矿业需要很高的资本成本，是贵金属行业的两倍，判断: g- T0 D% S; R- s+ H& U$ Y
错误将付出更大的代价。
) t- b% Y0 m; J8 T. @  K即便面临挖矿难度和算力不断创历史新高，且相对于2022年秋季比特币价格降至约15,000美元的低点时，矿企的9 e- J3 m1 a- N6 R5 {
情况已经有所改善，但是现在的算力和难度增高是反应先前的投资，是否要持续投入又是对于下一阶段的预测。+ H( I/ Q) d  n3 H7 g  z, \
比特币价格的上涨或下调还有能源成本都关系到矿企的盈利能力，决定他们在减半后决定是否需要运营下去。3 r& X1 ]% [& u; m) n! G

+ z# D+ Z2 W; u: D6 y& H
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2#
不会的吧，矿企的成本会如此的高吗？

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3#
这个也是需要去减少损失的了啊。

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4#
巨额亏损的话也是好无奈的了， 不懂的！

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
那是有不少的损失的了

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6#
这个上有损失也是难过了吧

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7#
都是亏损的多了啊，没想到了啊

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8#
这样的话，矿企肯定是要巨亏

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9#
第二亏损幸好不关我的事

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10#
比特币对很多事情有影响的

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11#
损失就是非常的难受了的啊。

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