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" t5 [8 }& |, |: u& k8 o4 {比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 / D0 |9 h0 v0 S8 i1 A: ?! c
5 l) p* C8 J' h! r监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，& r- `5 I: _% y
5 p5 S1 S) Y( S3 L
专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 ; O. V5 o) F% p8 R3 c
/ W3 t3 Q- `+ x' e0 v! Z/ q. x有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技1 d5 N3 ?' L3 v( u, n
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股等风险较高的投资。 7 U/ m4 }" v0 X- _. ]" F
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储! b( }3 p W+ v( i! r8 d" `6 U" i; d
" y# ?: n6 N: f* n [: w. [; d明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 9 v0 D: B! t# h+ T3 {5 ~
1 D1 F# `& c( e- ~
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
$ `. G0 r$ k4 d& C) R0 W2 I0 _$ |8 y0 |9 l& K& H
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 + C2 U; {; k, q4 k) d2 J5 g
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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$ t# b* ^* d% X4 p6 ?" y8 k# H2 @更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此: S, W q0 ]- ?- s( M' j8 V
: z1 D/ _( U6 X ^仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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0 A1 B& |9 o/ F8 s: f0 |库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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/ {8 N a7 t2 g/ g* A ]2 w推动力之一。 ~4 k/ ]" A0 a& r/ n* H# }6 g8 d
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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# s1 ~. _: {- a5 p+ L需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣$ \0 }7 b9 f# \# p" u( x
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” 0 r9 K$ o$ x. T: s9 T4 y
' M" V& p( Q# V' r数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至/ P7 X0 D! L+ y# A+ o: F8 Z) I1 b
5 ~: N) x4 a$ q }3 b
今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 8 s- X: `* J) f, P3 b! e
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