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[lastpost] => 2813455 当最后一枚比特币被挖出后，会发生什么？（转） 1774716224 垂钓园
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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就! z+ }5 S) a2 d- k3 v" g6 _
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突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照
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matrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴
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: ~3 \4 y8 m% g8 x/ F% t忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，/ x& {! {: P' Q+ V9 @1 I; P. M- r
# Z. N. c7 x$ D+ d9 g这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中
1 @- d: A+ ?& ]$ \/ ]$ T1 w" f- e. X2 x* H9 R# M0 M8 \1 u) f
期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
' f2 V+ J! T# |. J$ _) d8 R% h, F6 tETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道: p0 |2 U& l5 [ f
5 l, C7 z; y/ p! G% s! N& M2 O消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二( C8 c# D; v5 n- Y3 h# U8 f
* [. W; c. ^: p- r3 Z4 R; Y! f q! a
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。
- C9 m h( G6 f8 O: R; r1 U3 p, l. A% J( \( @
另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货
8 e1 W9 L1 P8 N$ x! t6 g* I2 ^* _3 Y3 Y. l! P/ |' i" t4 v
ETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短; k2 F* G1 {: {" q0 i% [' m
. b4 b: @% F' h
期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，: h9 x( a- H F6 Z( y
9 j% I8 u0 B! R5 m# k. H5 ?: g
负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
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# ?6 h. g9 g( B* g3 }
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