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[lastpost] => 2813457 巨亏124亿背后的豪赌：MicroStrategy正把自己变成比特币的“风险放大器”？（转） 1773152676 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。: p# T, A5 _& E, c
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过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。( N2 e- u$ _ h% K, d9 Y5 s5 @
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当" o, V" Q9 B+ P" d1 @7 ?
: h8 H2 d8 y. d1 q天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
+ b, l8 j) I" V4 Z* t% c. I5 m& v8 n. g, O
处于健康的看涨状态。( U8 V! [9 {" s j* p/ H0 N
. v4 D( {. `; G4 d5 @0 T, xAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
5 n8 R4 E9 D4 ^! l! f9 y5 A+ m# I/ Z7 Q& \. g( i' V
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
: n! b" L0 \: d7 l, U2 I
, V% |. p3 J& D o! d7 h获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
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5 _! E; u+ w" N" c$ D8 aAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
# q: G$ f. \* X& ^0 }! H. g6 K4 o) \# ]% e3 f- Y
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
) {8 ^* @! D& q: i5 c+ `6 Q
' u, P3 ^5 [1 O+ f及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。! x! Z* _6 L' |: u1 p
- m0 g7 S/ ^& t. Y9 C1 _4 ?9 C其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
) m+ p3 W5 b& i' A6 {5 C$ U# x) V; ^0 W% Q* ~, L
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强8 z; t2 ]6 ^' D
7 O2 f5 s F, d7 A% O4 j1 C劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。; @4 K C6 ^7 M8 j4 O
5 ]* |0 m! @# P: C$ }( T5 j
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF5 E$ o, T* o0 j9 z9 L+ {' g
w/ i: ?' F: W申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。5 \: y# U6 v8 J
" C) Q1 C4 Z* z9 w" w# `& b虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
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1 E8 u& ~8 |. L7 jNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
3 G# C3 o$ c* W
- j$ E7 S* x J1 g绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法8 x+ `" y, B: \9 p8 b' z- _
% }2 x0 w! v$ @% p9 W O7 x
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
9 W% W9 Z0 p! J) b3 V% Y
* Z3 F: n s- ?8 H5 J/ P3 s7 ^% p( d& X) S5 \: j; E% _- y8 X$ w6 K2 x3 t
因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
1 B: [) i5 ]- v* j6 B! ^4 v* H# `
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
: N9 C1 z4 R! j( z& P
, P. {0 n7 X1 S% p; J# i5 h; c
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