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对于庄家而言,给出平手盘一般有三种情况:
3 l: X6 A: n/ `5 w1、双方状态实力比较接近而客队印象略好的; _: L o4 ~3 I" V
2、主队偏弱、客队偏强,但存在造盘题材的。
- ~8 _8 M9 ]8 ~& x! M$ E3、客队排名靠后而且在客场,但是由于传统强队印象,或是历史交锋占优的球队。& @% c! B6 b- z; p. F P% R# Y
平手盘赔率一般为2.3.2组合形式,但在历史交锋平局偏多时或者庄家认为平局较可能发生时,也多采用2-2-3甚至2-2-2赔率组合,平手盘的开出一般有两种理由,一是庄家看穿平局为最可能发生的结果,用平手盘来均衡注码。二是庄家认为两个球队综合情况分析下相当,任何结果都可能发生。由于平手盘的球队要么实力接近,要么有题材过于鼓惑,因此平手盘对于投注而言显得比较有难度。
, l( c) e- w2 }8 G" H根据上文,我们分析平手盘下的几种情况。$ \/ _8 A% @7 V% r6 ]( N
1、主弱客强型。" s" p* {& E+ z' c" ~
(1)主队近来势头反弹,而客队势头下降,形成平手盘。- Z# T% R, `. e# n; ?8 P% U
这种情况下,上下盘都有题材,理应看好势头反弹一方(主队)。但由于客队更强,同样很容易吸引到资金,因此这种平手盘的表现在,谁低水谁不败。当然主队升平/半给高水就不好了。: N8 r, F! @ C' p8 R" D) \5 Z
(2)主队虽然弱而且近来势头不行,但历史交锋占优势。
* f5 `' Y# D% T2 E9 D3 b$ n9 u r这种情况下,上盘题材仅仅是历史交锋。此时应该慎重考虑庄家造热方向,低水一方很容易把视线转过来。因此此平手盘下,高水一方肯定占据优势,准确说大可不败。
1 Y( {& \0 T0 A; x(3)主队近来势头反弹,客队势头正猛,但客队历史交锋占优。5 e0 c+ C& ]* _% n/ D) P$ P! q
这种情况下,上盘题材是势头反弹,但闲家很难相信弱队的反弹,此时对于客队而言,要么完全保持高水不变,要么迅速客队降为平手低水,否则客队难胜。
- h N. |' \3 @# ?- m' E. v+ o4 C& g5 f(4)主队无论任何一方面都没有让客队平手盘理由时。
4 f# B! a3 @/ n; k这种情况与第(3)种情况类似,上盘无任何题材,闲家很难相信弱队,此时对于客队而言,要么完全保持高水不变,造客队冷。要么客队迅速升为平/半并降水,给主队好处。否则,客队难胜。0 u$ R1 ]# E9 x; |) h
2、主客实力相当型。( G0 z& ], H- U) T7 _7 ]( w
(1)客队排名靠后,但是是传统强队或是历史交锋占优的球队。
" I8 V D+ v8 \这种情况下,多数为低水方保不败。6 O7 V7 _5 X6 D& h& K+ g
(2)主队排名靠后,主队历史交锋占优。
! x- k. [9 c0 J d8 ^这种情况下,无论水位,多数为客队不败。# r9 M3 o. d" n; N' S% V8 c* F; D* ?
(3)主队排名靠后,客队历史交锋占优。: N2 {4 p( J& ? R; Q
这种情况下,若主队为低水方或为高水均占优,主队中水有忧,但多数为主队不败。
# m: P& x! |. J2 f% K分析仅供参考,具体情况需要到实际比赛才知道。另外,在此引用风水先生的一个定律:* @- s# a/ L1 l* d. C k4 ^
——主弱客强,且分差较大时,客队维持高水不败。大部分盘口根据即时对比因素的不同,庄家根据自身体系出发,结合欧洲形势,可以得出一个最适合受注的赔率组合,这个组合基本上是庄家“最优”的选择。这是本轮讨论的问题。
0 T+ H" ?, r3 p4 Z有些比赛,经过考量,是无法得出一个最优解的,无论怎样做盘,利润都不大,甚至略亏损,这时的做盘原则就是“两害相衡取其轻”,选择一个相对能减少风险的组合受注。这是下轮讨论的要点。
5 p; E( x) }6 L4 q4 n |
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