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[打法交流]
还记得Dwan回归首秀的那把AA撞KK撞QQ吗？来测测你对翻前强牌相撞赢率的了解！（转）
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扑克圈最近因为《深夜尬牌（Poker After Dark）》的回归和Tom Dwan重回电视扑克真人秀而引发了大片轰动。特别是在某一期节目中，Tom Dwan、Antonio Esfandiari和Daniel Negreanu一起打出的那手AA vs. KK vs. QQ的诡异牌局，更是引发了扑克圈的广泛讨论..." N* C6 Z. X: V" w) w, z" ~6 s
AA vs. KK vs. QQ的局面并非今年首次出现，但外媒PokerNews仍为该专题开设了一次能力测试。以下就是以德州扑克中强牌相撞为核心所列出的8道选择题，答对6题即为合格。答错了也不用担心，答案后面会有相关解析。虽然题目并不算难，但想全部答对也是需要点功底的，快来测测你的水平吧~
, P4 W$ ^1 V! W8 F( LQ1：在那局三人对抗中，Dwan最终用A♠A♣加注全下，魔术师用K♥K♣跟注，而丹牛则见状放弃了Q♦Q♣。Dwan和魔术师决定发两次牌，最终两次都由Dwan胜出，赢下了一个近70万刀的大底池。这个结果并不让人吃惊，因为AA对KK本身就有____ 的优势。
0 p3 X: A: X7 |$ `A. 近62%( ~4 I" l" p W
B. 73%4 t9 e, J: a; p* ?
C. 近82%# c9 U; Z% Q" J" j/ p9 l
Q2：假设丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，那么他击败Dwan的A♠A♣ 和魔术师的K♣K♥的概率有多大？0 I% I7 q4 U! ^7 x
A. 不到8%6 V( w! K/ ~. h* @" P* f* `
B. 略高于15%& [7 h x y, R. i( _% r
C. 27%" b2 @/ Q9 _1 d% u' e
Q3：丹牛在弃牌时曾说他怀疑Dwan和魔术师俩人都是AK。那么如果丹牛用Q♦Q♣跟注，而他的两个对手又的确都是AK的话，他最终取胜的概率是多少呢？
1 a7 ]/ X& H" q; KA. 35%
0 C$ i! L, w ]# u9 N* \' cB. 不到50%
$ j, V5 [! V) Q' B1 V( b/ vC. 约65%
8 p/ D+ s, x5 T+ o/ L5 W9 p; gQ4：如果你用K♣K♥全下撞上A♠A♣，那么你的赢率还不到18%；但如果你用KK跟注而对手拿着A♠K♦，那么你的赢率会是多少？' I M9 x) a+ J U) t' N
A. 刚好超过55%
8 u: J0 k- B3 P$ V: P& zB. 约70%
) B5 ~$ I+ n: k" G; T' LC. 近85%- f' N& B$ X7 L
Q5：如果你用A♠K♦全下撞上Q♦Q♣，你的赢率是多少？
/ A% g+ v/ C) ~" `" X( U1 ~1 Y7 OA. 33%3 `/ @& a( z# @4 T6 J0 w6 A& M2 D7 T
B. 约43%1 O- A' Z3 O. |( u9 P/ S5 R- y
C. 近52%
- c8 R4 [& G! kQ6：底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率有多大？
+ p5 ~ {2 L& f- K4 mA. 1/1107 M$ ~' k: V# F1 c4 G3 i: z S" F
B. 1/73
, g& p0 Q- o5 e/ u5 L5 N$ ]C. 1/54
; w1 Y3 k: G% G& ?5 T9 A8 M, FQ7：底牌拿到AK的概率有多大？; N2 Y2 L6 G- i2 A! ?
A. 1/82
9 ~+ b/ a4 j1 U" eB. 1/45
% Q, {1 O4 v$ |3 V9 W: YC. 1/33
' U1 x2 N( p* d2 GQ8：最后，你认为自己被发到AA的概率有多大？' S# U5 m9 n: b/ F* V. R+ z
A. 每221手牌被发到一次
- ]$ b& c9 w8 UB. 每110手牌被发到一次
* k1 o, o# f$ {1 @: p7 E) K1 tC. 每117手牌被发到一次- `3 |. k# `# v- H4 a" H
。 。 。 。 。 : R+ B/ W0 T' N" f7 l% l6 D+ K* V
正确答案：) Q) J3 z# Q+ }- q
1. C + H8 W5 i# F% @% S8 U6 d
Dwan的AA对魔术师的KK有着近乎82%的赢率
# b% I/ q1 b2 N7 A, j' e8 U3 d2. B 9 h5 S7 l. M2 P: m& S
正确答案是略高于15%5 e2 P0 g6 s8 R9 Q4 q
3. C 2 e/ l: X- m, T$ I, s
QQ对抗AK有略高于65%的赢率8 q" o+ d, j- C$ Q3 _
4. B
: ?# w& R5 A V. N4 fKK对抗AK有大约70%的赢率+ i* T8 H9 M6 _! z3 G) h1 D( d
5. B
% L& A- p( l! S1 r1 g/ rAK对抗QQ有大约43%的赢率5 Z9 X% {- @* _
6. B
! ]" i2 ]0 V. g! }底牌拿到AA、KK、QQ中任意一手的概率约为1/739 K: \. v8 q* T* k1 m9 e8 ]
7. A 5 y- x7 H( a* s8 Z8 ?5 \
在德州扑克中，手牌被发到AK（不管是否同花）的概率约为1/829 k9 E [" r0 B' g! F1 _
8. A
& u, \: B4 w3 k3 {; S7 D手牌被发到AA的概率约为每221手牌发到一次* G0 l5 U+ U+ N9 D- m
0 H( p0 t: j8 _8 d6 C! m1 ~
$ H" q9 H6 w2 A" p4 l2 e6 q. f
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