Array
(
[fid] => 6903
[description] => 汇聚千万菠菜人经过无数次摸爬滚打总结出的原创经验打法,更是菠菜高手纯粹交流殿堂。
[password] =>
[icon] => 27/common_6903_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6903
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6895,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6975,6976,6799,6974,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,1121,6977,6765,6948,6879,6845,6903
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6903
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6895,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6975,6976,6799,6974,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,1121,6977,6765,6948,6879,6845,6903
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[716] => 版块公告
[1510] => 打法练习
[1511] => 打法交流
[1659] => 入驻合作
[1745] => 提现流水
)
[icons] => Array
(
[716] =>
[1510] =>
[1511] =>
[1659] =>
[1745] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[716] => 1
[1510] =>
[1511] =>
[1659] =>
[1745] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 理论实战大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 4
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 15110
[posts] => 517460
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 30
[rank] => 6
[oldrank] => 4
[lastpost] => 2645726 德州扑克新人成长史之还望指教(转载) 1714308253 rainwang
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 0
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 1
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 8
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 4
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1047 小时
本月在线: 6 小时
|
|
赌注越小抽水大大,赌注越大抽水越小
1 [" m* e+ @2 H/ [& c4 B& D& \3 k) E0 R' F4 [
一般地,赌场为保证利润,赌注越小,抽水就越厉害;赌注越大,抽水就越小。对老虎機这类抽水大得惊人,收益率负得厉害的游戏,研究它的策略根本就没有实际意义。
7 I0 P) f0 P$ {& w8 Z7 F& D# D5 X3 l, I6 S, O
彩票、老虎機和赌场里的各种赌戏,是针对不同的DB消费群体而设计的,取决于收益率和游戏的频度,一般来说,以彩票的杀伤力最小,老虎機次之,赌场最甚。
5 z, }3 V& ^: r; e+ f# ?" ~/ ]- Z8 T, `3 q
对待彩票的策略,上策是从来不买,中策是偶尔花点钱买个可遇不可求的渺茫希望,下策是希望花钱买来个500万。$ g) }9 U0 j5 c4 b
3 V, V/ s$ m7 ^& p9 P8 r5 W
对待DB机的策略,上策和中策都是不玩,下策是偶尔玩玩消遣消遣,如果想在DB机上赢大钱,那就是下下策了,有人在DB机上输了十万几十万就是因为采用了DB机策略的下下策。6 s* v% Y) ^$ ~+ h4 V4 F0 ]
+ t: P3 h, k) J _: l$ i2 M
~# O1 {! v" ^% d) V只要是DB,就存在风险+ C: ? x) l- ^. y5 @5 J/ V
. `% E' O8 X) | o" W数学可以告诉你成败的概率,但并不能消除风险,赌客其实不是在和几率打赌,而是在和时间打赌。. |6 T5 | T, N6 W4 h, t- e2 B* p
8 _1 T( {# h" k8 X( s# @! m
赌场赢赌客的钱,决不单单只赢在数学几率上,还赢在赌客们嗜赌成瘾的弱点上,赢在赌客的贪婪心理、不服输的心理、以及侥幸心理上。
4 A8 N1 ^3 I; V; Q7 ~( |; W/ s; [' A; b7 G8 g+ K
收益率优势是DB中最大的、起决定性作用的优势,脱离收益率优势来谈论DB技巧都不过是无本之末、无源之水。
& ^6 |3 r0 J' X' S# w7 T- z3 m4 J
6 k& U3 _- _: v- V m- X$ f作为一个成功的DB者,你必须懂得如何控制自己的情绪,在大部分的情况下,你在赌桌上并不仅仅是跟赌场对战,同时还跟自己的情绪和心理作战。5 @5 `. d- Y4 q# C" L) b
9 \" D a$ B. P& }# E5 q! h
成功的赌家,要有ZZ家的眼界——以收益率统领全局,银行家的头脑——必须有收益才投资,经济学家的理论——懂得资金的管理和发挥资金的最大效益,投资家的耐心——等待收益率为正的时刻,军事家的胆魄和决断——机会来临,该出手时就出手。1 G/ \9 u$ I. t. @% f
) S, o) G7 J; t
平常心是贪婪心的克星,英雄难过美女关,赌客难过贪婪关。
8 `# D3 M m- Y1 u
' ~ Y# e8 E8 f7 A0 ]4 B% z8 |3 M没有赌家不曾输钱,没有谁是百战百胜。: U4 ^% ?4 X9 d/ }$ W/ |* M
: i$ v) n1 m0 j& S9 Y% R
在输钱需要回避风头很盛的庄家,而又犹豫不决时,卡尼曼的预期理论能帮助我们更好地决策。
) y( A a# X; V3 z9 T6 V5 i/ c) P* S3 A) k+ k
赌场的荷官往往会利用自己的手势和语调来指挥控制赌客下注,让赌客在失利的时候赌注反而下得更大,作为赌客应该明白这一点,以免到时候受制于人。
7 Q! u7 o7 {7 ]+ }% _1 u- ^
2 s- a- i3 @1 X; I要有在赌场内的忍耐能力,要做到无优势不赌,无信心不赌,无运不赌,要记着「忍」,把庄家风头很盛的时候忍过去,在忍无可忍时,再忍一忍。
' @5 \% B: n# {1 j# ~# x2 [& a! x9 p1 F* ^& ^ j( `2 P
DB中的信心来自于对收益率的准确了解,经验可以帮你分析,冷静的情绪可帮你做决定,思考零乱时最不适宜下注,要等到收益率大于0的时刻,一定要等、等、等。# }& }8 U- R2 B+ N6 d% }
! _& k6 Q; v& M0 e0 l& c/ v/ L: r0 f0 j: l1 P/ a
要安稳、稳定,不要随便下注,掌握好下注的节奏
; E' A0 q: B0 w- A1 D8 S1 \- x$ I8 ]9 z h2 j3 U
下注要够狠,收益率为正时下注要狠,收益率为正而又连赢时下注要更狠,不要错过过三关的机会。) G3 u" ~6 l& e8 ?* a q: v
3 r/ q1 s3 L! \$ X1 p( `% {9 n; G" B要做到赢钱及时离开赌场,输钱又要识得离开赌场,下次再来,留得青山在,不怕没柴烧。
: b8 {6 R0 c+ M
2 A1 B. C! V/ D9 i4 f/ Y在连赢的时候,要敢于加注,犹如冲锋陷阵,该出手时就出手。: o6 v/ q; Q; U% q* R* ~. |
1 s% Q$ R* U* [2 P* s' r
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 11461 小时
本月在线: 114 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3379 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 4131 小时
本月在线: 57 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 16821 小时
本月在线: 159 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8172 小时
本月在线: 43 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 17367 小时
本月在线: 96 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12070 小时
本月在线: 73 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9346 小时
本月在线: 55 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2104 小时
本月在线: 49 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|