×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯，数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 19690
[posts] => 281591
[todayposts] => 212
[yesterdayposts] => 396
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2647395 TBC.network 是什么(转) 1714896317 不傻不成气候
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12049 小时
本月在线: 7 小时
|
|
首先回顾下本周发生的事情：熊：美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的
J) b9 y$ D( G* O, _& J/ d& c8 l) w$ s& x2 I- z
总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所，相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆，因此带来了恐慌，. X- d& C* Z+ c0 ~4 T2 S
" M+ Z* H2 m$ ~% \, X
方舟基金，灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。 ?3 T4 @: ^% T3 I% f3 c! W/ @4 f
7 N( Z- G7 r3 @
5 I9 g7 X% S, j8 F# t: v& O2 ?: \& o5 r# R: R8 L0 I
牛：（1）Fidelity，Blackrock都在持续增持比特币，其中blackroak增持3100枚，2 A8 P( d+ G/ b$ }; g
( [( r2 C1 U, Z. W$ SFidelity增持1100枚（2）神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币，越跌越买，四天5 @: \+ d; h8 w: P
, d0 @, U4 c2 t$ F" _2 [" X. c
内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入，如果未来的有一天，某个国家ZF
# Y W. Y! {$ m3 X V' F
% K9 t4 G/ \! l- [' [; K宣布其持续买入比特币，可能就是准备抛售，见大顶的时候（3）usdt4天内增发30亿
# m" l: l' L- r& I
0 a5 Y$ l* X+ y) {枚，在过去的日子，以周为单位，USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻，我们回到& g: c* Z0 m) Y& P3 m3 \1 t
! U; l& F0 q. A3 q& |2 i
k线。首先看比特币：从日线上看，比特币在两个红色矩形之间（60000，72000）形成
0 h4 [) y& w: g. }. s! }% v. L. v% K! ?! |* G3 x
震荡，振幅逐步收窄，很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18，死7 }1 [0 P; e5 g' R. T1 d
& A+ _# [3 u& ^6 L- K8 a1 u叉一旦形成，上涨趋势会被破环，比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此，为了" _+ j/ c4 X4 Z& ~
- Z& U) Y# W0 q避免死叉的形成，比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确9 _7 Y5 ^0 @; `4 l1 y$ M; P9 }
" v# }) s9 [/ c7 y5 A, u. t. U定一个更高的高点，从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300，再次测试60000只是时
$ i' P# q% m+ b) j7 ?2 R8 v6 D$ \1 e; H8 j4 |/ m5 K" K: {
间问题。如果6万不保，下方HS矩形是大支撑，也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认( F4 ]. O, `' b( D- R, ^) H
7 }/ O2 J( h0 p. g为这是最坏的情况，不认可一些人认为去3万。& ~) g4 e2 {$ G9 _1 a
2 Y$ ~( W7 n5 x& J
从4小时来看基本和日线一致，无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑0 r7 Q% G% z- e5 Z8 m
4 S2 F0 ?. G# a9 b* g，已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
$ z5 k: @1 @4 y5 a' x2 s+ g3 p
- A# ^& Q _% O! y) G) d$ ^9 j位被多次测试，那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此，如果比特币不能快速收复73100， } n# d/ b( F7 X# z
: u+ ?! H. X2 V% r9 u: K; h
EMA200跌破只是时间问题，下一步就看60000的表现。
# H4 H, L9 s8 K* ~' N/ P' h! \1 ]) W5 |1 z! N x
考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号，结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空，
3 P/ t6 t2 o* _+ e. d2 X
7 L0 a6 }% ~, J1 z+ b: M认为比特币至少会去次6万。9 H! i1 q4 D/ Z. }! y C: V
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 11487 小时
本月在线: 16 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 17386 小时
本月在线: 11 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8186 小时
本月在线: 9 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 16880 小时
本月在线: 47 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12081 小时
本月在线: 5 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2115 小时
本月在线: 6 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 793 小时
本月在线: 15 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3388 小时
本月在线: 6 小时
|
|
6 } B2 y0 t! R8 v. V抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9366 小时
本月在线: 16 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
