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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；9 B' c% S, n3 v$ y3 ~
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据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元) V& K" x1 Z7 c- Q3 y' Y
/ x* f4 o/ D+ U+ ~2 S9 B( w“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”# K: Q3 A( i B" ?2 G: K) s, v# q
; G N0 {" s- E就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；- q" M' x5 J5 C4 V( O* m& o
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需求上升与风险1 Y4 s$ T) |, x$ ]$ w8 l
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。
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从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；5 d! s' K- D, F1 `
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事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。
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, _4 \2 v0 n9 b0 M在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；8 ?! C' S( Q* I: f3 l
0 ]1 t! i' f: _( y因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；
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6 G W6 p6 m) H2 w但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；" s6 d. _* F Z. l( i/ f: A3 V3 Q0 V
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对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。
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0 ]. W. O9 e9 Y/ v1 B% O- [ O3 j根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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) a4 B0 N/ X& M; ]. ?然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。' }2 b- X7 D" Z5 f) C+ ]6 O, T; v
4 r3 X6 ?0 j8 O- y" p1 i' s" `简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；: v6 U% K3 n8 f' z1 ?' P
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与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）& s* {! A, {1 a* V
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