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[虚拟币交流]
随着比特币再次接近历史最高点，接下来会发生什么？（转）
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加密货币市场仍然处于强烈的“贪婪”阶段，尽管存在超买信号，但看涨情绪推动比特币和以太坊走高。
近期，加密货币市场的投资者情绪出现看涨转势。此前，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数一度达到70的峰值，这清晰地表明了市场乐观情绪的升温。 在撰写本文时，它已经[url=]缓解[/url]至62。然而，值得指出的是，该指数仍然稳固地处于“贪婪”区域。这意味着目前市场信心持续高涨。 投资者情绪的改善似乎与 2.38% 的[url=]上涨[/url]全球加密货币市值达到 4.05 万亿美元。[url=]比特币[BTC][/url] [url=]滔滔[/url]上涨 3.33% 至 121,706 美元，[url=]以太坊[ETH][/url]过去 24 小时内上涨 2.02% 至 4,271 美元。 历史趋势能说明什么吗？过去，加密货币市场在经历极度贪婪的时期后，价格经常会回调或横盘整理。这是因为投资者为了获利了结或重新配置仓位，以规避估值过高的风险。 截至发稿时，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数暗示市场信心强劲。但与此同时，该指数也可被视为一个警示信号。短期内是否可能出现动荡？对于活跃的交易者来说，这种困境凸显了评估风险承受能力和避免因 FOMO 而冲动行事的重要性。 Santiment 的最新数据集似乎为这一分析增添了新的维度。例如，以太坊和比特币的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 在超买区域达到峰值后，似乎都处于下跌趋势中。 上述因素组合可能暗示市场近期可能回调。然而，在如此动态的环境下，确定性仍难以确定。 看看比特币的主导地位……不过，比特币的市场主导地位在维持整个加密货币行业的整体看涨情绪方面继续发挥着关键作用。 截至发稿时，该价值为 60.80%，这一水平暗示着“避险情绪”，投资者越来越倾向于最成熟、流动性最强的加密货币。这种主导地位通常会为更广泛的市场定下基调，尤其是在价格快速波动或不确定性加剧的时期。 如果这种主导地位持续下去，它可能有助于延长当前的贪婪浪潮，暂时保持看涨势头。 社区参与……一位 X 用户对此进行了评论[url=]说[/url], 他们还说加密货币已死。这才刚刚开始——如果我们将增长轨迹与传统市场进行比较，我们就能发现巨大的上涨潜力。还记得 1 万亿美元看似遥不可及的时候吗？现在我们已经达到了 4 万亿美元，恐惧/贪婪指数只有 62。
另一位 X 用户 Sebastian Diaconu 则更进一步，[url=]谈论[/url]关于市场的好坏两面，其中，就好的一面而言，他说， “恐惧-贪婪指数仍处于良好水平，这意味着有很大的上行潜力。”
不过，从不好的一面来看，他补充道， 大家都在期待的山寨币季并没有到来。至少现在还没有。是的，我们有以太坊、瑞波币等等。所以，主要的问题是：山寨币季会不会到来？
但这就是故事的全部吗？嗯，根据 AMBCrypto 的说法，高贪婪信号并不总是意味着立即出现衰退。在出现重大调整之前，市场情绪可能会持续高涨一段时间。 例如 - 5 月 23 日，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数[url=]感动[/url]78，这一水平牢牢地处于“极度贪婪”区域。与此同时，比特币价格上涨至11.18万美元。 这种走势也表明，尽管市场情绪过热，看涨势头仍能持续。这可能为进一步上涨留出空间，之后市场力量可能会重新调整。
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