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[虚拟币交流]
美国 7 月份通胀率降至 2.7%，比特币和以太坊价格上涨（转）
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价格比特币在备受关注的通胀指标显示美国 7 月份消费者价格涨幅低于预期后，比特币和其他加密货币周二上涨。
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9 k6 r6 B6 u' g+ _根据美国劳工统计局 (BLS) 的最新数据，截至 7 月的 12 个月内，消费者价格指数 (CPI) 上涨了 2.7%。报告. 经济学家预计，该指数追踪广泛商品和服务的价格变化，将同比上涨 2.8%。9 n! Q7 F' i( T3 I; F) b& R( S
* [; @* f* @# i, }* x# T4 n8 y9 m消费者价格指数环比上涨0.2%，6月份上涨0.3%，为1月份以来CPI最大月度涨幅。
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据加密货币数据提供商称，比特币价格在周二快照后上涨至 118,000 美元，而过去一天则下跌了 1.1%。CoinGecko. 以太坊上涨 3.2% 至 4,300 美元，而索拉纳同期下跌 1.7% 至 176 美元。/ Z; R, Q" Y0 ?3 S0 I V. r
& A" V# f' }& T1 ~, w$ X) S# O# n报告部分内容指出了潜在的价格压力。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨3.1%，略高于经济学家的预期。7月份核心CPI也上涨了0.3%，创下自1月份以来的最大月度涨幅。: n8 Q! ^% r+ T% r4 g
( c6 ^ j; ^/ @2 x! u8 J: Y oAmeriprise Financial 首席经济学家 Russell Price 指出，CPI 报告严重偏重住房价格。他告诉记者，尽管近几个月住房价格一直带来上涨压力，但 7 月份已出现放缓迹象。解密。
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$ t6 P, W v4 i C“今天的报告很好，”他说。“我认为这为短期通胀提供了良好的走势，尽管我们可能会看到关税相关影响带来一些上行空间。”1 l3 F' V" ^$ w" K( @
/ \9 k* \' y: L8 k1 ?周二的公布数据是在美联储召开了一场充满争议的政策会议之后得出的，会议中官员们决定连续第五次会议维持利率不变，尽管两位理事会理事呼吁立即削减这是该组织自1993年以来首次分裂。) [# x+ _9 T0 ~& q$ n: |0 v& X
$ v( Y! D% i; f美联储今年一直不愿降低基准利率，担心美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的全面关税可能会再次引发消费者的价格压力。但总统和央行官员一直反复呼吁降低利率。批评导向美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔。
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较低的利率往往会有利于股票和加密货币等风险资产，9 月份降息的可能性[涌动]d本月早些时候，就业报告弱于预期，其中将 5 月和 6 月的就业总数下调了 258,000 个。1 D9 y# ~' _3 P' U+ m9 ?9 ?
5 n- D+ j9 c! T; i1 h1 c3 W% J通胀数据公布后，交易员预计美联储下个月降息的可能性为82.5%。根据市场预测，这一概率较周一的86%略有下降。芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 美联储观察.
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美联储理事米歇尔·鲍曼在周五的讲话中表示，她在美联储最近一次政策会议上投票支持降息，因为劳动力市场“出现脆弱迹象”，“今年经济增长放缓，劳动力市场活力下降的迹象越来越明显”。7 q( i0 H) }2 F/ ^# t! b) b2 C
6 S/ b3 R/ a: v$ A7 M8 T: c她还认为，关税对消费者价格的影响只是暂时的，因为央行正试图将通胀率降至 2% 的目标。
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6 m# y2 m' m* k卡托研究所通用经济学副总裁斯科特·林西科姆表示，专家认为，由于特朗普对一些国家持续实施关税豁免，且美国公司数月来一直在囤积商品，因此特朗普的关税措施并未对通胀产生重大影响。
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如果特朗普的关税导致通胀上升，这可能会在“今年秋季的某个时候”开始反映在数据中，因为企业将继续消耗库存商品。写道7月份。企业可能不得不开始将价格上涨转嫁给消费者。6 s9 {! l& y/ |1 M- r& \! x( m
! }( T6 d! n: C9 z“不仅实际关税税率在上升，而且还会进一步上涨，而且库存也在减少，”他辩称。“许多美国公司已经宣布涨价，还有更多公司即将涨价。”
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