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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格跌至 92,000 美元,7.85 亿美元的多头头寸崩盘(转)
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比特币本周开局承压,一波清算潮突然止步,此前主要由衍生品交易推动的涨势戛然而止。
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; k3 u. M. R4 H美国总统特朗普宣布对八个欧洲国家加征新关税,加剧了宏观经济的不利因素,也加剧了此次回调。1 M" R: m1 P, U8 b0 {
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根据该提案,10%的关税将于2026年2月1日生效,并于6月1日增至25%。白宫表示,这些措施将一直有效,直到美国达成购买格陵兰岛的协议为止。. p7 a$ Z. U! |! \$ v
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要点
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( Z/ I9 n- C) A" P2 K( q5 i3 b比特币今天下跌约3%,至约92500美元。过去 24 小时内,加密货币清算总额达 8.67 亿美元,其中包括 7.85 亿美元的多头头寸。同期,全球约有 24.3 万名交易员被强制清算。在流动性极强的 BTC-USDT 交易对上,单笔最大清算金额达到了 2583 万美元。亚洲交易时段,Solana下跌6.5%,SUI下跌12%,ZCash下跌7%。美国宣布对来自丹麦和其他七个欧洲国家的进口商品征收 10% 的关税后,黄金价格上涨 1.7%,至每盎司 4600 美元。
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比特币回调,杠杆驱动的涨势结束
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& n9 C; u( o( p; y5 J数据来自CoinGlass数据显示,亏损主要集中在多头头寸上,这凸显了反转前多头交易的拥挤程度。因此,随着价格下跌,清算驱动的抛售加剧,加速了下跌行情。: z; D) G8 T, J( ]
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过去24小时加密货币清算
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7 @+ ]! y4 j' @4 f' ~销售压力不仅限于比特币Solana股价下跌6.5%,而SUI股价跌幅更大,达12%。ZCash也出现疲软,下滑 7%。) p& u& n' d0 P7 R" F* D
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同步下跌反映出市场对比特币走势越来越敏感,随着整体市场情绪恶化,山寨币的下跌加剧了这种趋势。$ H P2 A; D4 b }& f8 r
( s+ |- Z' R1 L3 f% F' F稀薄的液态物质暴露了结构的脆弱性
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, o6 |( b( r% F }在其周报Glassnode指出,比特币近期逼近96,000美元主要依赖衍生品交易,而现货市场的持续买盘仍然有限。此外,该公司警告称,期货流动性依然不足,使得市场容易出现突然逆转。* F# w5 E/ Y% h# p6 B
3 Z' C' w- F' x' ]2 qGlassnode表示,一旦杠杆驱动的需求消退,价格可能迅速失去方向。此外,长期持有者在接近前期周期高点时形成的供应区也加剧了这种压力。该区域屡次阻碍了近期的反弹尝试。
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市场走向仍不明朗9 L- C% X4 `& O) B5 `5 S5 N" ?
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在此背景下,CryptoQuant 采取了谨慎的态度。具有特征自 11 月下旬以来的上涨更像是回调,而不是确认趋势反转的开始。 H6 I: c/ ]$ b7 O
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比特币价格仍低于其365日移动平均线(接近101,000美元),历史上该水平线一直是牛市和熊市的分界线。只要价格维持在该水平线以下,不确定性就可能持续存在。
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该公司表示,尽管现货需求略有改善,但仍持续萎缩,而美国现货比特币 ETF 的资金流入依然疲软。1 K% D2 K4 `" D
; d# @) F" i! Y7 C) ]& f+ @( v早期稳定信号,后续进展有限
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尽管如此,一些初步的企稳迹象已经出现。Glassnode报告称,与2025年底相比,长期持有者的分布速度有所放缓,这表明来自老一代持有者的抛售压力有所减轻。
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" b8 l9 P0 \; v3 @0 ~7 M; S9 E币安相关交易场所的现货交易量表明买盘兴趣增强,而卖盘活动则表明……Coinbase形势有所缓和。然而,这些进展尚未转化为持续的上涨势头。
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) k ]+ d0 c2 ]6 }; W2 H期权市场也反映了谨慎的市场情绪。Glassnode指出,隐含波动率依然较低。然而,长期合约的价格仍然反映了下行保护,这表明市场风险厌恶情绪依然存在。8 r. n7 U( i* D! `
6 `7 ^, H' o: r7 C* x) G对杠杆的敏感性仍然是主要风险
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$ m# {7 u U1 l: D7 O& n分析师们一致认为,市场仍受杠杆因素主导。Glassnode 和 CryptoQuant 都警告称,流动性的变化仍然是价格走势的关键驱动因素。如果现货需求没有显著回升,波动风险可能仍将居高不下。
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) X5 o8 g, [' o2 H在需求真正出现之前,比特币预计仍将保持被动状态,价格波动更多地受仓位而非基本面驱动。5 y6 l9 W4 ~3 v0 r
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这波清算真是够狠的,杠杆开多了的朋友估计都睡不着了 |
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这波爆仓太狠了,3%就干掉8亿多,做多的这波血亏啊 |
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