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走地大小球的经验之谈-------20年来使用过的一些方法（一)
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本帖最后由 justdoit2500 于 2018-5-6 13:32 编辑
5 |; D2 V! ^. f3 m, } c. l% k8 Q% x) C6 @& d. q+ o* s5 ?- z
1).赛前研究的意义! j; u; z( m, V1 |# J) ~* I
如何判断开大开小，相信很多玩家赛前都会做很多功课。目前也有很多的成功方法，象止损理论、梅花间竹理论、临场水位盘口变化、往绩、实力差等等。很多人都能从中做出正确的判断。但如果你要对所有的比赛作出判断，相信很少人能达到70%左右的胜率。，即使有也要花大量的时间和人力。那么有没有一种比较简单又可以有较高的准确率的方法呢？有！笔者在实践过程中发现一种判断大小球的简单方法。这种方法说它简单是因为它不用经过赛前烦琐的功课。对于这种方法来说，赛前的研究是毫无意义的事。8 G8 I! @: }, \
2).20分钟法则
6 A5 T# `3 _& }7 {8 S# a20分钟法则列表 进球数 大小球盘口 进球时间 判断大小球
1 R$ o9 j! S' K& g" I. k4 A0 2 无 小球 3 V* ` ]3 [* O* |# V( l9 ^
0 1.5/2 无 放弃 3 E8 S! K* u8 l! Y/ n) {& l$ ?
0 2/2.5-2.5 无 观望
% I% y" u: d+ [0 [/ A7 ?0 ?( B& N0 2.5低水-2.5/3 无 分段等高水追大 # e9 Z7 n+ O7 _% h% R
1 3.5/4 前10分钟 追大 9 R9 O. C0 U; c0 g d
1 3/3.5-3.5 前10分钟 观望，3球时开始追
3 @6 Y- E$ p7 j) p1 {1 2.5/3-3 前10分钟 追大
" j8 I# I7 L5 q8 E, H" V2 R; o1 大4 15分钟左右 观望，小于4时追大 G: l! q" @: P4 H7 P
1 大3 15分钟左右 观望，小于3时追大
7 K- p7 _" [# _0 X+ d5 c* P1 小3 15分钟左右 追大
" K! v) q4 B9 u! P5 o! s2 小4 20分钟前 追大
( S' j* w" X" k" W2 大4 20分钟前 观望，小于4追大 / ^8 q+ H: r9 _/ k9 D( {
20分钟法则在实战中最好参考亚盘的让球和水位来判断，以提高投资的成功率。9 o! s1 F/ n: h
3).整体联赛的20分钟法则- Z* T h+ F8 Y- o" f
20 分种法则列表在实战中对单场比赛的走地有比较高的成功率。但有时候走地大多时会有顾不上来的感觉。例如在四大联赛走地时，常常是有差不多10场的走地同时进行，用上表会有顾此失彼的感觉。因此在整体联赛同时走地时还可以在应用20分钟法则的时候加上联赛的大小球概率来判断。具体是根据每轮联赛开大开小的场次是均等的概率来判断。例如某轮意甲同时有8场比赛走地，前20分钟有5场比赛有进球，那么剩下的3场开小的机会就非常大。这时候你可能要在赛前根据前一、两轮的大小球比例来参考。
* C+ q, M0 r! n8 }1 @+ }4)、注意事项
* P8 j+ v7 \' d" `# f2 T# i5 \ 1.有些比赛有进2分球的现象，就是说2个进球之间相差2-3分钟，这时候判断大小球一定要结合让球盘口来判断，不要轻易追大或追小
* _* @* m9 e" C8 h$ m2.追小球一定要一锤定音，如果出现判断错误的时候，不要盲目的补仓。
& w# Q) R g) f% L 3.追大球的时候要有足够的勇气，追了大球就不要有补回小球的做法。因为很多时候比赛会在最后10分钟才决定大小球
! T* x0 c3 H8 c% A/ p3 ~! Y0 f( J5)、典型的大球和小球0 O4 W2 z1 A- o1 G% B# r3 q
走地的时候，结合让球盘口会发现一些重点的大小球。列举如下：
2 ~9 y* y4 w( G9 ^ 1.强队让球大，进球时间早，进球后让球盘和大小球盘下降不大的比赛，通常是屠杀的现象。基本上可以亚盘上盘和大球同时猛打，一场就发达。
* r0 p$ F4 |) D5 X9 X 2.强队让球并进球在先，弱队扳平。通常是平局的表现。追小一定有收获。' x, D7 o! ~/ ~; X- @9 ~% d
3.强队让球，弱队进球在先，强队扳平。一定还有球进，谁进而已。( A" i$ R1 F) ?/ o) ?$ l' i
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