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9.林迪效应
- [: R; g. S0 i; b持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。
3 M" p/ ~ [2 k1 m- r9 o0 G4 K0 c7 ?% K
DeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。
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10.自我保护原则。
% W( ]) t* I! D3 p, W9 s! B4 }& j
痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。
4 r% I) b" X+ g, q0 d
: Q) ]6 ]( x: Y9 u0 v. L' }当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。
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- ~: b$ i) f& f: c6 r! M10.抓住重点原则% n) K* ?8 u% n9 d
重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
5 F2 j0 H; r; {" E# E6 E' N4 I, ` l; r
• 视频网站为内容而战。9 W: P4 z5 c, G# b
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• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。: K! A! ~& ?6 l% I
r& N k* H" @$ d1 LCRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？
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11.二阶效果原则。3 f( j3 H% e$ A8 G
每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。6 R1 |" j6 h, n) S6 D
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多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。
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但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。9 Z1 o2 f& C9 K6 o q
* b4 t6 Y" h f4 g警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。! t/ f! I+ K# z1 q" G
* r7 k: f! J' G" p12.冲浪原则5 ~/ X: I5 d+ @+ J
您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。
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% I0 |1 h0 r [4 {. F7 p及早识别和利用趋势：8 i/ \' n s- ^$ V8 g4 @
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• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。
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9 Z8 J8 u% A3 L9 ^; R3 ~4 ]9 _* I• Netflix 转向流媒体。
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' G, g w) g ]! S/ V在加密货币中：
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& x' U9 a" S; [' s% q3 _• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮）
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• 投资（顺势而为）7 A; N8 _6 O- G9 u2 x5 p- I- V8 j# M, }9 |
3 A0 Q c+ R- M n• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）5 i+ P* C2 L% x4 ~
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13.先行者和后行者优势% k5 }! e' z2 d. T9 P/ Q8 w
协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。
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' e' Z9 ^9 B0 X# }1 U( X2 h要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。8 N" }$ b% o( F- ]& r
6 f4 l& Y; \4 m8 Z' z1 U% i( o而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。
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) Z L* X- a3 I9 T5 m) x! i( X4 \长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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