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[lastpost] => 2646986 一位分析师表示比特币的下跌几乎已经结束（转） 1714724121 wuzhaoshichao
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币（BTC）：尽管比特币下跌 为何水面仍平静（转）
[复制链接]
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在未实现损失最小化的情况下，比特币持有者有信心达到盈亏平衡点。与此同时，交易员将 BTC 的下一站目标定为 32,000 美元。 匿名链上分析师 onchained 表示，比特币最近的回调对于这个王币来说并不是一个坏兆头。 这位分析师在 CryptoQuant 上撰写了有关比特币市场情绪及其对持有者影响的文章，指出比特币的下跌使 1-3 个月的 UTXO 处于有利地位。 无论衰退如何，现有机会 Onchained 得出这个结论是因为 1-3 个月的 UTXO 持有量仅略低于平均收购价格。通常，这是未实现损失最小化的迹象。因此，向盈亏平衡水平迈进可能会给市场注入更多信心。 为了得出这个结论，分析师利用了市场价值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 的比值。这是通过将 1-3 个月框架内的 UTXO 持有的供应量除以 MVRV 来完成的。 MVRV 是总市值与已实现市值之间的除法函数。该指标的结果可以让我们了解比特币是处于公允价值、被低估还是被高估。 根据 onchained 的数据，在分析时，比特币的 MVRV 高于 1，这意味着比特币更倾向于上涨而不是下跌。 他进一步指出， “在我们目前的情况下，波动交易者群体的 MVRV 最近已突破 1 水平，这可以被解读为看涨信号，可能表明有机会逐步建立多头头寸或加强现有头寸。”
BTC 到 32,000 美元，谁说不？ 研究分析师 Alex Adler Jr. 大约在同一时间 onchained 在 X（以前的 Twitter）上发布了他的分析。阿德勒表示，比特币多头头寸数量有所增加。 阿德勒在他的帖子中也考虑了接受者订单的状况。接受者订单衡量衍生品市场中交易者的买入和卖出头寸。 据分析师称，Taker 订单的累计 8 小时增量为正。该数据强化了市场情绪看涨的观点。 此外，Coinglass 还透露，过去 24 小时内 BTC 期货的未平仓合约有所增加。作为判断价格强弱的指标，未平仓合约是市场参与者持有的合约总数。 当未平仓量增加时，意味着流动性增加。当它减少时，意味着最初持有的合约的平仓量激增。虽然是前者，但有趣的是，交易员的目标价高达 32,000 美元。
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