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4 x% t( }. m P# ^# l' w1 d比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 5 I' T. s5 v- @. K) `
: o9 ^7 ^. t+ p$ x- [ C: J监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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8 Y. ?4 v) L, J4 f' p6 A有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技( K: _7 \' d( Q+ z/ N
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股等风险较高的投资。 ; d4 ?) e- t2 l/ Z0 c" J
. b. U+ @: ?% S5 ^9 f芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储5 G- Z$ @$ L: a" c; }
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
( T/ @- s [6 B: U( u) y# J
- @, X+ Y1 H9 Z* y; d5 a现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动' \- |/ Q& Y: A' e' K5 X! |
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 $ f( g: \% ?5 E! f6 E( L) r# ^
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 7 {5 A, Q" G2 N7 j* Y' T
! J. H: i* S3 p- N" Y- w1 S更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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{- |/ W) U! ]" L& s: v+ d仍有许多交易商可能买入。 ( e' e. i2 X! ~- C9 y& g
9 ^6 D* i: ^& ? x' S0 ^ z0 X库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。 8 k7 l5 H1 y6 ~. U
) d; P/ q1 u) I! S4 w$ V1 W028 z* H6 K+ k, K9 ?8 F4 ?3 u
' ]& { h% H( z$ \5 }有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
# I) J. ]( Q7 \4 k* x' T0 e) l1 a2 L* o+ o$ S+ b& L& U* s& E* y
需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 0 Z& s, U3 u$ V. x1 ~
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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) d! J) z$ N, G' B, M- x3 E的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至4 L! a1 T- s# S5 {; ]. e; T
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 4 Q/ S) z; P( B) O
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