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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
, g/ A: _- g$ V+ X/ u1 P$ n- s至少有以下几个原因：
; p+ ~9 n1 o9 d3 A* e/ r6 j& a1 n/ l. i. J
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。* `+ C, J) z" S3 h8 F1 O1 o2 {$ d3 K
1 B0 y9 l9 W: W2 x1 z$ b
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化+ ~: v: Y- Q# K( Q
( y) \& E( N4 w. m/ Z: O机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案9 a B- n# W8 L; w
: G: L6 ?6 G4 E% @0 Q出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到% \6 I3 ~4 g3 S$ y+ r, h/ a# [
) w3 T R- l9 k$ c! c325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
8 G2 b$ w% |" ?1 | j
# E& d4 o9 l# m. E( H据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
* c1 i1 n0 R6 q, x3 U) h. p! Z
4 @8 ?) C8 |% i( ]% u达到200亿美金）
9 E \1 o( K2 ?$ D" U9 G
6 T, G& d& L2 ^4 {7 G5 s$ `8 ?2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊) W% W7 L1 f- S
% _% T1 H/ ?& U+ B更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化* E T k* Z6 ?4 o- E4 \, M4 ^
5 s0 c- Y# Q, w: j+ Z) o( }% T的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。" \- |* b' r+ k, G- ^8 C. F
2 s9 Z( J* }" R1 _1 L. ~+ V3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
" A* b" n) T; s, ^/ u+ k: C
2 |6 X7 M5 Y S& C' J3 o2 G资金的信任和青睐。; _, z$ |' c( k. {% W
* y! r/ q6 b. Z3 [ w4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
0 _8 A! y4 V3 [( n5 K1 G
& U z7 f9 u% @$ ^金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
2 E8 c8 G1 A" d+ F( ] h1 E
4 s& n1 y8 a' x3 O0 f- E5 i比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。7 P. a8 U' N* k
3 i( G; e& o0 e$ \ |
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