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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2647516 USDT的价格跌的真快啊 1714889454 22301
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当前离线
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总在线: 12049 小时
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情：熊：美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的) w# K+ g6 y: p. Z
u( L1 n3 b. I5 s
总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所，相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆，因此带来了恐慌，) g o! J# [. F' m# ?. m3 t9 ^5 d
' H0 \, {* U8 [, m( H b方舟基金，灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。4 [% e; M7 W' L+ `
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5 J* e- F; h' m
% n* H( g4 n \5 k X' B 牛：（1）Fidelity，Blackrock都在持续增持比特币，其中blackroak增持3100枚，
: @* N3 s0 T( l" a( \/ @
4 S+ @! ^8 \% @6 w: }3 ^Fidelity增持1100枚（2）神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币，越跌越买，四天
; w2 O6 {/ N5 V S4 G- z. n5 ?7 p6 S8 L/ E) s
内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入，如果未来的有一天，某个国家ZF7 _( j: h w9 P8 Q* N+ b/ k
/ J# v ?) ?' S
宣布其持续买入比特币，可能就是准备抛售，见大顶的时候（3）usdt4天内增发30亿7 u) g' ]4 g; X1 E( C% F
! r; v$ B8 E5 V5 \! q枚，在过去的日子，以周为单位，USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻，我们回到
- A7 c6 F$ ?4 q+ K- k% E8 h
1 k' w$ Y% F" B4 Y1 b& Bk线。首先看比特币：从日线上看，比特币在两个红色矩形之间（60000，72000）形成
8 A7 F) x3 L! a1 _0 S! b. h m( E' _, c, z( A
震荡，振幅逐步收窄，很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18，死8 V1 [6 X1 w& N
* r, N9 q) q7 c1 T; J叉一旦形成，上涨趋势会被破环，比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此，为了
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5 @; x) {8 X1 L x: [避免死叉的形成，比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确, ^2 i7 V9 e& P3 l" S/ v4 E/ c
% a+ N) `7 H5 p' }, Z8 H定一个更高的高点，从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300，再次测试60000只是时$ o: K1 u) i! o) J0 c, e0 I
7 s" a- e# ^" ?* h$ }6 a9 O' y
间问题。如果6万不保，下方HS矩形是大支撑，也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认
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为这是最坏的情况，不认可一些人认为去3万。
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* Q- Z6 K4 O9 ]" [ f4 [从4小时来看基本和日线一致，无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
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，已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
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位被多次测试，那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此，如果比特币不能快速收复73100，/ O! H2 V. J/ T% R6 [
+ e/ h) N* L9 U% O( G& m/ c. e: h8 a
EMA200跌破只是时间问题，下一步就看60000的表现。- D# |, |0 x8 a
! |4 w( r) x5 V$ m' d# o# ?考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号，结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空，
* j1 |* a/ R$ y5 G
6 W7 L3 F; z; l- B/ V认为比特币至少会去次6万。6 n' X4 a. G5 Z8 l" ~7 x! A
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; {2 k. _2 {% x& g6 \5 d4 Q2 g抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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当前离线
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