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Arthur Hayes：仍认为 BTC 将重新测试 7-7.5 万美元，需对比特币战略储备“祛魅”
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比推消息，?0?2Arthur Hayes 今日发文讨论全球加密行业许多人关于建立比特币战略储备（BSR）和美国治下的加密监管的主要愿望。其表示：“广义上讲，许多被误导的加密人士希望美国政府印钞并购买比特币作为国家储备的一部分，并对其有经济利益的加密业务制定监管护城河。我认为这些人要求错了。
政府囤积任何资产的根本问题是，他们买卖资产主要是为了政治利益，而不是金融利益。考虑到全球经济体系的当前结构，比特币本身对美国政府有什么作用吗？没有。比特币只是另一种金融资产。对于特朗普而言，其动机是安抚帮助他上任的选民基础。
假设特朗普能够创建 BSR。政府按照美国参议员 Lummis 的建议购买一百万枚比特币。那么价格将疯涨。然后，购买结束，上升趋势通道关闭。创建 BSR 或国家储备的垃圾币（包括 XRP）会将政府持有的任何加密货币变成强大的政治武器。此外，作为一种纯粹的政治策略，美国政府是否会有意义地参与社区活动？他们会捐款赞助比特币核心开发者吗？他们会运行节点吗？也许吧……但从人们谈论 BSR 的方式来看，在我看来，这是一种设置好就忘掉的活动。”总体而言，该政策会随着政局变换而发生改变，从而影响比特币原有走势。
对于即将到来的加密法案，Arthur Hayes 同样持悲观态度：“那些构建真正去中心化的技术和应用程序的人在这个周期的关键时刻没有足够的财力来玩弄政治。加密货币监管的愿望可能会实现，如果真的实现的话，那么它将以过于复杂、规定性强的形式出现，只有大型、富有的集中式公司才能负担得起。
行业巨头们试图通过创建一个对他们的业务有独特好处的垄断结构来最大化股东价值，我相信这种监管不会改变现状，虽然它对加密行业没有直接负面影响，但也不是正面的。
对于所有因为美国政府对加密货币持友好态度而迁往美国的全球创业者，请注意。如果你默许这样的结果，你的创业公司注定会失败。”
最后，Hayes 仍然认为“比特币将重新测试 70,000 美元至 75,000 美元。只有美联储、美国财政部、中国、日本等国家以某种形式印钞，或者制定允许无许可加密货币创新的具体立法。加密货币法案将使 Coinbase、贝莱德和 stonk 投资者受益。但对于我们这些加密货币 degen 来说，这不会将市场推向新的高度。它不会进一步实现将一切事物去中心化的目标。”
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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