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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，. L3 }4 |$ v2 j8 `
但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！* |. h& E3 V% A9 h( H9 V
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1 O0 J. H( d2 C) `, J在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以
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( C/ M" t: b" z3 b2 ~& Z+ f4 c短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。: y i) D9 J' |1 d f2 o" l2 [ m" |: l
; } C. m Q6 k$ i n1 t1 B% C一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。8 |8 R$ H, ^8 B! T5 O' C8 A$ U
) \; j. w" [% f我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，$ D5 K+ Y6 q. e! ?8 o1 m) }: M
6 ]3 R: M7 X* h" W0 A. Q一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。
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% h+ K! ]# w1 N. z! y/ `0 U山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，
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在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最# z7 h8 I9 B8 ^ ]3 b8 b
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高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。# \7 a. [- A- G8 t& {
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( p6 L9 B! B0 [, Z2 U5 T9 i o目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币- q/ q, F6 w, G; x7 }
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是7 o$ c- E0 A" H" E
$ Z% I" t* |( ]7 @" j3 t* v3 o离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。6 M+ p" n3 N# q8 [' a
6 w! Y% i1 q t! M总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：
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1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。0 C( d$ w' x4 T
" l; ^/ z4 K; y- k7 R# F7 O3 B2 i2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。
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) R4 F& Z7 B7 n5 `2 c3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态7 Z# _3 ]$ F% K7 X2 n2 s
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4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。
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5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE& k& x: d$ ]; F& b# g
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