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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。
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' i& R* I! \' C这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。
/ d! F" H& U; V8 a0 B然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车& M# ?7 F2 }3 V2 Y6 {9 D
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和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。
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: u" j! |) r; T2 m9 G- } L5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛$ P2 T* G: M( Q0 \
( Z4 p: ]+ R4 h+ q- o- U: A& J市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。
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. L8 h: U4 l) }7 ]* U6 {0 i今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能0 \) {; E6 K6 g4 v3 q" ~
# f0 V$ C% q# W% E2 s& T延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。( X! ]9 z' D- j$ b7 \
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如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。% B- E* T! M3 H D
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! R4 R3 S# w( [0 `从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密, b* r! p) b# p' v
+ X* X% _- }0 g( ~( l/ e& d6 e& ^, Q
集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目 S1 N; K: @6 g1 F, Y ?( p9 \% @
+ m6 W0 c8 N+ i t9 _& P( n' Y
前并无强压。
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