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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问,那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎?(转)
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比特币集会高于$ 98K,与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比;难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。/ o- G3 q+ {9 p" ?
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC,但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
& G6 f% F2 r+ X/ \0 m6 [0 _尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关,投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑,在牛市中,这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。( X: I/ w1 m" D, \- O* [3 Z
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市场是否难以置信,兴奋不已?还是这些信号反映了2022熊市?
+ z6 Y) g5 t7 B' W$ b
4 ?* ]$ J4 p8 P i3 w6 Y* W1 d4 f随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头,当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。, l' M) e) \, R3 {
2 t+ [9 @; l _牛un云蒙上阴影
5 I9 |& |$ ~- i" }最近的数据显示比特币X(以前为Twitter)和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元,平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。1 Y( N+ k5 s: N/ N& i+ R
3 J; ]& @7 h9 m$ v. T* i+ h这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。! I4 o2 g$ H7 E4 D$ E) z
3 W/ \4 m7 b- C4 b尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前,但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事,在这种情况下,延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。3 c5 {; L" {; N; \0 N+ |2 `
2 V5 \0 Y) r. l% H8 V) l+ `BTC背后的机构引擎1 H2 r$ g/ @( j; E6 B
在ETF流图表:经过数周的一致流出后,四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。: h7 P+ }! m, x! u" c: W2 a. O" X
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这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德(Blackrock)和富达(Fidelity)等巨人领导,似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头,将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
, z5 E. m# V5 I* h. W0 E/ Z, y
* G* v ~$ {! c1 n! E与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同,该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入,表明了强烈的长期信念。
4 E! D" d o2 T6 D8 f
" T8 `, f e) x: M' P% B* H机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量,即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
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7 E1 E9 M8 J# q怎么了?, Y. u9 L: {9 ~* h l9 K
尽管ETF流入信号乐观,但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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7 k/ x1 U) Y+ x# A' R) f0 K. [: }2022年,由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪,由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
1 q2 J, `7 b. U% n1 L# ]' V$ b. d& Z, L _' n
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出,从而逆转最近的收益。
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尽管ETF提供了透明度,但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回,比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。/ z% A g9 i2 J" j8 e
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