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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ) a; V& O# B( c7 T
* ?# I" a2 t% }- D0 V+ A* h/ C其实原文标题不是这样的
8 H) n% v" \, q7 h# T# K8 M( k+ ^6 L' G& h! ~+ @: a6 u. A ]$ Z
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!3 t3 f) P' K, ?- E4 n( _ \
3 L5 C. g' t( `' v& |" x
6 }" E) @: f% B7 v4 T/ c3 p+ ~
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
6 Q) y. _4 _1 q9 c# L( m他希望能和上帝来场赌局。( F8 n5 o. U+ @0 r: ]/ G- s
2 R7 D3 O. u+ g! H$ r3 o 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。% b6 X3 U5 @* x
2 \; d3 J6 N2 w: |5 r J$ N# Y
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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0 d2 p1 L( d1 h; e% Y6 \$ K6 b「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 , c5 h. A! ~) x8 p, x( u( Z p
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」) H0 _+ m b# j# e
& h. \* s5 K3 Y0 P. ]1 E 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
+ M: F. E5 `! n3 d& l( K
8 u/ e& l0 @+ C7 A接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
; h0 I) ]' G& X/ r; D h因此铜板较容易出现正面。$ W" Q ^/ C8 m, D0 x8 g
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 + x6 l/ O: l6 ^( k" v7 X( k$ _
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
: X& R+ e d+ Q( Q心想赢定了。
2 x* X7 d! L5 i8 }$ L! w0 Y9 N: l 8 k. @, b3 j7 [1 N# Q1 s" H
没想到开始不到半刻钟，' D( `7 ~9 }' }" l: R# E8 j
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
8 Y# d8 A7 i5 w: R6 P# p! f
0 u( a( s* Q2 d' F( p; t1 S赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
& j- `1 u3 n* y- _) u但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
8 B# u7 `+ u3 u( }8 i* F7 m6 o3 O
# [& l- y1 Q% C# Z' C; g& ?! U赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?' P# Q$ r: w+ T- J/ s
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ) U/ y) B. i1 G7 ^9 O! ~
上帝回答道：
4 Z6 p, S8 m8 b* [+ W/ j「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」" ^( T/ z* l9 N# P c: v
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
) P+ _' t K7 r7 `4 T* a# z「而不是先发生在我身上。」
! v8 m5 f* U( U
2 p# l2 ]: r+ z L( h 赌徒恍然大悟，; ~7 P$ S/ g. R' G0 M
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，- _% D) d* i' p! u9 d8 x
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
/ g% t U/ e. a( W「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
' z2 g$ k- Y7 I上帝说完便不见踪影。
4 V6 a. R: d/ {4 h& k+ ?
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
& X6 f0 R C/ q# k3 ~1 b1 e若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
9 V* j2 u p) U. X3 V) c+ v1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
5 }- C' V( T/ O6 E& t% p% G( u- ?对赌徒十分有利。
" _8 T* }9 n J - Y( x4 o3 i/ n0 f
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，& {7 W; Q& [/ c d* W
在还没掷到1000次之前，
" `- |0 O' D" v Y仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
7 N5 X4 R, F$ S' x, N( }4 O7 ~! b( ?; l0 s% K2 @
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
; I9 k- N2 h! j6 k7 X, e9 A+ |1 s" p: v, e6 O" v
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。: n; c4 U. J( h% u( w9 H6 m
0 z0 U2 r l- N/ c6 l2 e. _ 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
! w- G# h; ~8 B. K) ~( Y$ T
8 C: f1 j* T+ R; P% r 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 1 K0 Z5 h7 ~+ W7 @3 m
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