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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
, P# G4 q& d& U( `0 c行情补充、
) \8 U! k8 K' P4 [) s% u' P/ L在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
4 ]9 r" u. g$ b; e市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 1 `$ m& ~" C# M7 ?
关于疑问、一一回复。 . f3 \/ W) T; ~# z
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
' B3 `: O. u0 N! \1 r& A
" W+ U* d7 x& O. @. J$ D$ m首先就个人的主观来说、
: b W* \" Z" }2 D5 }# `4 `, U对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 % W4 v8 {5 Q2 {' n5 i* V1 d
极度憧憬市场的未来！ + J; _, j4 |+ I# K$ j6 b) ^" X6 \1 R
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 3 t+ e4 M7 |# I5 X1 p& }
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
" K) Y7 M9 O9 j0 c9 R" y- n0 j而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 $ X$ x0 e# e% q9 L) Z" u5 v
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 " [ X3 a: W5 @) T, d y
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
- N) {% K: m; b2 v3 z/ Q. Y其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 . J9 i% v$ D8 b& }7 o' x& u+ c; s& T
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
, V* A% ~! n8 Z& n0 F# u H为什么会跌、
& C7 s, g1 h3 o4 f& g+ c9 E) h" ]1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
4 ?; y# x ~' [6 V8 V# R2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 " e/ H% V1 @+ X6 V; {
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 ) f$ V) y5 k0 _0 i2 J8 }
综上造成的下跌、 5 Z4 l# v5 u/ [, G) L& {2 O( j3 z
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 ( u1 |! d" l7 [& m
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
9 ?8 O! Z& _7 }* P, X9 C% `熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
# W1 g0 r5 G6 x' M/ `" P, |来决定行情是否好转。
0 W4 h Q6 |/ L0 |" T# m至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 2 R$ J: n$ |: n o5 s& Q1 c, F: m
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. & x `) b* \7 `! f
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 ( z8 P3 g! z' m; m
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
5 Y$ r1 g1 q! f7 I那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
% O5 {9 G( s' s看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 ; W- }$ f* o: I# P6 i* ^
日内大饼反弹、
5 e0 _ X6 K7 w+ A26150高空
4 v+ y* D( l4 {, W6 f" p/ t26350补仓 $ m* v' ]6 C* s! X# e A
26550防守
6 b. i6 P; G) @2 o1 K; g目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
3 V7 ?# h$ N4 H" I9 G以太反弹 1 Q U8 F, A+ [1 j
1380高空 m( D4 d8 Z/ K! N1 j
1400补仓
/ ], n9 q+ J9 A- _6 L1420防守 0 p4 \! s% ~ v) y
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
8 g1 v$ j$ Z7 P/ z! d" S附言、
& @ U& z+ Y" _, A0 h6 }$ X8 R许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
* Q( y1 {0 x2 t/ c/ {, r是正常现象，
4 P2 z, W5 A$ M合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 & |( x' v/ x; Q S& c
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 1 d" W' O1 P+ q: G& a
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 , q6 D7 |/ u+ ^2 R" S7 Q B) V
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 . K C1 t7 D4 ?* v3 \, `
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 " I' S3 Z1 e. g- I
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
9 n' u" N2 Z6 J* M8 ` M相信七月公布时，会较理想。
7 k$ U; d: x: ^- M9 [8 t% T但现阶段，要承受的住。 & k6 z4 {9 P! ^
最后再强调、现货勿割。
/ d; l8 H! { ]; g8 P) \5 \ o8 @25000的大饼 1300的以太、
0 V) k6 ?$ F: U) W/ u个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 ( f4 t+ }+ g! b
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
: C2 Q d9 J+ p, O( J9 B这个市场，
3 J0 p! l3 W8 @& K消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 2 d* }/ V4 t9 T7 X) S* E
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
+ p# Y: t# H; k. V- v切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 2 @. V" J% I2 q& U' n) C
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 + ^/ N2 L$ q6 @; i" v" b
来源：金色财经 |
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