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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
- j8 @% e# F. y9 A& V+ d行情补充、 5 |6 {( {4 i' B% C
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 ! @& I) x# }' g
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
- v" y0 u! E7 m: r关于疑问、一一回复。
/ n) E, n! U2 E8 \& m3 l/ U今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
8 z0 b3 j2 `- t! L6 q2 {. ?/ Y5 Q$ }
0 }+ d- D' j! i- K: y" z. }! w7 z首先就个人的主观来说、
[; g! z& s4 R6 H" D$ k9 y对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
2 g' D0 G( w I9 O极度憧憬市场的未来！ : k, G, T7 J# Q
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
- p! g X8 u3 R2 h0 K7 e B& e( `最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 " R6 Z- K! ]1 I# V& q
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 ' S8 z) ~ j+ l* I( ^
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
' Q7 j4 B0 w+ T$ v' C转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 1 w! x5 }/ S2 N( R0 r0 i& Z2 Y
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 " j$ \1 V3 O3 Z8 q( X
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
* S! H4 X( g9 p# \3 r% r8 X为什么会跌、 ' t3 x* A6 k/ |" a
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 " x* f+ }2 i. ?5 Z5 B+ I2 e
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 - X, y% s, {. k ?- U3 t
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 7 [' [4 ?$ s9 B6 D- u
综上造成的下跌、 ' R0 J5 Z# A: t3 q7 w6 V P5 H
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 6 R# S5 Q4 m1 Y* k K$ n' d
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 1 H$ J. P. Z8 \4 t/ w3 U& Y
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 " P2 n) z# }* c' |8 I# K
来决定行情是否好转。 0 }/ F: g6 t/ m: z- w+ M1 f
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 * t* b0 o& o3 j" M
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
- |1 ` N' b( a* _, D7 @; ~' Y短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
1 D5 j& H- P" w- p周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 . Y' y- b, C$ X+ o r9 @$ @; \
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
4 K3 U! Z* F7 a; Z6 ]2 b看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
; z; L% x* F0 q5 M日内大饼反弹、 # I) s& @! x' N& d" W+ R
26150高空
: M8 y4 T' s: F/ M, n- l* Z26350补仓
! v& O" e0 Z! r' a26550防守
8 M1 e6 ^& K! [. }+ U- Q目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 5 ~# S2 J- q1 ~6 z
以太反弹
& P' O+ h& [5 j# v/ y& Y' q1380高空
8 {9 q: J: c c8 _1400补仓 ; o, X& h' r, z& g2 J
1420防守
% h. ^* n' p$ @: C$ d( `目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
( n d/ z( ?# z5 L# X3 ~附言、
1 x- s# L9 x; \0 l' E: v/ n许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 9 X! w2 X. @4 L- F0 u" d
是正常现象， * E" M) O+ u3 S, X7 ~" {
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
* ~) [/ _2 \4 e7 m8 E4 v对于市场、依旧未来可期。
# `) D: p7 Z8 @& y/ U! V6 X大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
+ u; @' T8 ^8 u' b上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
; u; ~' r! K0 P) d. Q$ T" O5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 6 R" z( O3 J) Y7 x& n9 J( q5 `
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
! `: D! \9 E/ v! @) b相信七月公布时，会较理想。
/ M6 T9 w1 T/ u- _但现阶段，要承受的住。
& i! v7 w4 k$ T N最后再强调、现货勿割。 8 S0 M% m! ]' Y7 n
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 * B* ]5 `" Y3 r+ V
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
# }$ m, v- U" b$ l% r稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 + ?1 T$ E( R% e9 A8 {( Q
这个市场， " h8 q8 m s: D* I S$ }
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
& _0 R% o6 m0 @+ G最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 * c2 ]. v( Z; L3 S
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 ; w) R& J) I+ [, ~3 u, q
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
1 b, C' t0 U, \" M5 B0 U4 r: o来源：金色财经 |
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