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[lastpost] => 2785725 随着涨幅消失，卖方完全掌控市场，比特币崩盘加速（转） 1764566108 小钱儿
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
$ J& U" e6 ^. E! A3 C9 E8 c$ u行情补充、
1 I1 l5 W1 f8 Q1 X9 q; A9 z0 X在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 4 K' ]- E3 M' {0 C1 p0 F
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 # j: i3 C1 t4 W* {* s( _; Q
关于疑问、一一回复。
" X# j/ h7 b) t1 u今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
- S" \% b6 W c5 y% ?. A
9 r( c: g8 i! ?
首先就个人的主观来说、
: N, ]7 t$ `* Q- N1 W对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
+ k0 b& I, q' G- {5 E$ q Z极度憧憬市场的未来！ & A9 P0 U* L* m1 E5 l( {1 X
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 : y1 l! m _' [; Y, K7 J
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 . w }1 _- U, k2 o: H
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 / v4 T ], r' a' _2 r. S% J L) z6 Q
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 & l& `8 q- |0 |& u2 t& r
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
0 q. \3 {& m; {( s& i; K& X其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 # z6 @3 f. `, n2 u
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） , c( W q# i" \# _7 ^1 ?
为什么会跌、 , s e4 `8 _4 B
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 + @1 b C$ h; e* v
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 " g4 S# Z. I! d! \, p
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 5 o: h- ~, h7 x
综上造成的下跌、 ! X$ j+ G5 M; c9 l. Z* F$ T+ M
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 & W+ Y9 E' [9 G) }9 N, M1 g, h k
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 ) P8 g" [1 A; y) u0 \
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
8 l [8 N1 ~* a$ u1 t来决定行情是否好转。 ' e) R) D/ t/ ~) C# l4 L
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 # e |9 T% W8 D. X8 J* \% D; w, E0 F
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
5 t# [! s; u' d' n" G短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 - {$ y1 G+ K: \+ l% `8 k: w
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
& s8 K( J& k4 x# t- a" {那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 6 j4 \2 f/ |. j' w# n& o; h" |
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 ) m* M+ O7 M/ w/ Y
日内大饼反弹、
- a4 X, u d1 C! ?: M/ Q9 p. z$ N26150高空 j! _/ f- R& T8 I& R5 [
26350补仓 3 a* h' \, b" ~( q h& T# @8 G
26550防守
) v$ {, Y: j; |: Y0 L9 [- a3 V目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
# r0 G" y- e+ S" w' ], q5 p以太反弹
6 e% a; s" A& f# Z1380高空 ; _6 k: t/ y0 V' R
1400补仓 8 Y& J/ i( y/ ^) W5 e
1420防守 # t; n9 F* ?0 O
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 8 `9 U; g# T& s& D W
附言、
+ d& z" H6 ?" l( b许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
& w6 A4 T* S5 u8 q4 Y. ]& \( w6 J是正常现象，
6 R3 `! e7 k1 t b, Q合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
( |, g- N. O0 _7 w对于市场、依旧未来可期。 # R5 M! ]9 }/ B9 t1 {
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 4 [' r. b8 L6 h( B$ D/ [
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 . B( x% `6 e. _' \; t" q% B
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 9 G0 ~9 B1 W6 y8 ?! _% e: D3 r
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 3 @1 l% J8 J9 F X4 h% G6 e* Z- U
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
7 G2 W& E0 F% y/ J1 [9 h7 \, c* Q但现阶段，要承受的住。 ' {0 c2 `) _( @, m/ x0 z9 G" a
最后再强调、现货勿割。
$ q, K! ]) P* t. V1 r; [3 ]" x* d7 k25000的大饼 1300的以太、 % R* }- f" T0 e' L0 p4 f
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 & X3 A1 K! J9 m* P' w
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
& I( w6 l$ }. G2 p, Q- ^7 N这个市场， 2 X4 f7 v1 r3 y! \: L3 S# H
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 ( E+ u4 p% q% T# a# M% }
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 4 w `; J) ~% }. ~3 M
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
) E# l; Z% i; q$ X9 f+ w1 a3 u但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 ; D2 s6 e5 w4 H0 l' o3 v8 g$ k
来源：金色财经 |
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