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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 " m2 }( W% r# y: `* b0 W
3 c8 a. m7 E6 G* M' W% }/ ]7 O# g其实原文标题不是这样的
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9 i" Y1 _8 F; I$ `1 \. ~! Q" Z. N这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!5 {) u+ E" `$ m( H
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
. g0 B$ J: D1 K' L9 E他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
6 s5 h! G$ V% V+ i- J. K1 r7 H/ d; D: F* t7 E
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」6 m& t. O7 p( D' h9 U
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
$ r# A2 C7 {/ e/ p「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」8 e3 F4 {: q/ R5 v
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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* i* [0 F5 o) o I6 p接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，1 j( h/ r7 ^- J& H9 }. O- k
因此铜板较容易出现正面。9 e/ c2 A% K/ R( h3 N
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 ; U; X% A2 }- T- ~1 @4 Z5 A8 X
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。% \- g* ~) W: w$ L9 X4 q3 b) S
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
. e$ C, s* {4 p3 F2 D; E赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，* M7 ]8 `$ e# `
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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! q0 `9 N/ o: q( A6 V赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
' b( k9 U5 Q- z: ?) k& K: n他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
, W8 E* ?" {- S) n, e# K; A4 Q「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」' d& ~0 _% L5 x# x/ t3 }7 a7 [& ?
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」4 N9 y$ B) W; ^% ~0 ?% R* J
「而不是先发生在我身上。」9 A9 S' G3 x4 ]+ O$ u
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赌徒恍然大悟，) P$ P* O8 w. Q" s1 Z
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
" E8 u( M& v \% L: ^8 |竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
' \6 N. P% u& x2 s' p9 e* e- j「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」' }& V& i2 G9 s) U
上帝说完便不见踪影。 + W1 K! R3 d! N# B
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
0 o1 M2 Y9 I8 S/ K, ~若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
, `6 d" D7 z' M2 Q& `: o1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
8 ], J1 t& H' U! D对赌徒十分有利。
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
) \' _7 y, j3 W5 c2 i/ F% q在还没掷到1000次之前，) v5 q3 [3 {: u7 l- a5 f/ m1 h
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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: r1 F6 \$ a7 n4 j6 [ 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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# Y1 |( H6 a: N 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，$ X5 Q8 L5 H% e: v2 ?4 o5 [* y
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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