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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的3 q* j1 K7 i- R; n
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
- M: }' z! H1 A! S2 T他希望能和上帝来场赌局。1 O! T# g$ E1 ^ M
' M0 X2 A% u' s 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
( Z" }! ], R/ J% U
* y: x/ A8 x& n' g; v 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」4 N+ t; z9 r& {* l9 n7 V% B* ?
( U( o0 t; {" x「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ' w3 B5 s/ D/ I( O
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
2 |' m6 i7 }/ u% [
! P6 \& K( q. H; w6 i/ n# t 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。5 `2 p% Q: H) o) e. @ P7 v! A
, _, L2 g$ V' t6 \5 |接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
. E. f" m+ A( o9 K5 m7 l" I因此铜板较容易出现正面。, Z6 X- ?5 B( i0 N7 A9 ?. \* D; J9 t
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 # Z! L' {+ \. D" R2 |1 r6 b
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
[8 T) l( g! J8 @0 Z心想赢定了。: B0 |3 L1 ^0 ? t# E& v
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
5 H. C; ^% J" w; c( a5 r* B赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」1 w. P' |* a; `" c
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，" `2 C1 i6 j+ j9 }8 m; k
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。: c* e: ^! f7 a% Y, o: \6 m
8 W0 n% D( Y) i! @赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
V+ a8 U6 E/ C" d- O2 H) F他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ) ]0 S( Q0 y4 @) S3 x+ V# O4 B
上帝回答道：1 u9 L# O* U/ Q' h( A6 Y/ a4 k
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
& x& e& z7 d4 I- b2 a; K$ A4 S, N「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
1 D5 I; Y( @1 _% `+ f「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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; Q. {" K$ G; d* S 赌徒恍然大悟，
/ a3 p/ `! M7 ?) y7 o' H! @原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，( d1 A: `, E7 w9 W
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
" P8 O' Z0 u# }* _* U「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
5 |5 L6 c- w4 H; G& A0 U4 }- L上帝说完便不见踪影。 " T S; ^+ k1 V! o+ ?( G0 ~" }/ `. \
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，" J4 |# V1 v4 i
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，# P& X3 ?' r3 y! a0 O
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
4 j6 G0 |* M, A" `! i4 O对赌徒十分有利。; s9 @3 \8 @9 M! F
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
. t' B3 i' [# q# ]8 J在还没掷到1000次之前，# M& D7 i2 q) |6 e
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。2 p; F% J+ o3 s# M( _( H- G* X8 a) Z
7 [! ^: V: r; ]( o# `, x
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。8 I( X' V, X' F7 [" ?
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。$ Z/ l4 w: ~, B/ Z
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，% s. Q: c1 K9 o0 w
r6 X, H" ~, ~- V" O$ K5 ? 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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