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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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$ O1 C% S5 l) d* s c其实原文标题不是这样的
# d* o' u0 t* m2 J6 R5 T. g2 M0 f1 m! [) J- a, m
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
# G- Q! i6 r N' O. }他希望能和上帝来场赌局。% J" @' S9 z1 ]& Q% Q, f
; |) K, J* g' Q' R 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
3 h- F" \' X! Y! e/ R2 _8 y% s# ^0 G& o6 u
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
; B5 {$ e0 m% Z- S% Q: |, C
2 H. u# ?! m. b「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 2 S8 J3 p# f m- d
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」3 @$ f: F$ \4 X1 j# W& i9 ~
A( |) P% h, n) _: `4 Q- l i6 _
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。2 H+ _! w1 k, a
$ c! V& I# f$ E- y5 e& k
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
3 F5 O) r1 g: R因此铜板较容易出现正面。
4 X! u. D" \) F, W长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 , y- [2 N T5 u9 _+ e9 O
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。, r- U* F, h6 ^! ?
心想赢定了。+ z1 z/ u3 h; B) V& w5 P6 u
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，$ ^9 K2 p9 ?& u; N% k) \/ R
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」! F H e& M8 L5 Z# {
2 D2 H( x6 m# f n9 v0 a赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，6 S) a! a1 _9 n% c# i
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
9 D1 D$ h0 _0 B U! |, q$ @/ F v3 b ; n' v* b5 l$ e9 j% N7 w
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?. v& I3 G. O' [1 \& X9 O6 T/ M
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
! W9 k7 @7 X+ A「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
9 a3 k; P/ b8 V3 t0 o2 u. V6 E「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」- D9 J+ ?' v) j
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
# m, O% ]7 m; ?: O' H% I
, w; J9 c+ y0 C2 T; j 赌徒恍然大悟，
6 N8 S; E3 x5 v; j* F, j原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，& j0 Y5 W1 R0 Y% s
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
9 }) A z( \' }: s# q! }+ O! L「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」: K* V* z! B* ^( h0 A
上帝说完便不见踪影。 ( w6 T. Y' `" Q
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，) O8 x: c. [4 u
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，: v( X8 t1 Q* W9 R0 ?+ K! K
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
/ h2 e3 L5 V+ i对赌徒十分有利。7 @! G' w8 y# H( K
$ ~$ P4 D$ L9 S2 Z但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
2 m) q% n% H9 G. {! u在还没掷到1000次之前，- L7 K$ p* f+ \& |6 \' ^
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
% h3 x, F ?; F
; ~* B' ^& F5 J2 ~ 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。6 q, u7 V( p9 `2 e" `9 f
@7 d3 S& u& ?: ]/ K& e ^! B
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
3 j0 ]1 i( s8 ], Y2 a! u
7 y: e9 W( ?8 }% v, f 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
) C, m; p" _* I. x y; _5 D+ l D9 J6 w+ ~* j1 F: ^
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
3 m' X. u5 V$ B! H# R6 A" P& x
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