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[lastpost] => 2656208 【E世博】6月11日投注流水65602元(单日流水) 1718113747 rainwang
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小分3种情况:
W& G% ?* a' M+ S/ F# q6 u
$ t" M" V5 B5 F, e3 S' H1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。2 C- x& ~% v" j
4 O1 G( O+ m; O6 @+ |
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
9 g2 W( f x: S% o$ \0 v; H
" j7 F5 F. O9 J+ P6 v1 \1 f2 }3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。6 r; c; I( ^! a; o7 r
, E+ v7 v {" W) o; u/ y0 k* k& M. c2张牌8或9点的情况有:# a! \* O8 p9 y b0 ?4 z
* {: _: g) Z+ C* @
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
8 ^! P# k$ t% k+ P- L/ K' |0 R
8 H7 N: y+ i, T1 L/ V0 b# x; \1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4150 d8 q! @' \( a0 K" O2 U
' V. R$ N+ }$ a% |, `. b& \6 `9 `4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
- `6 `2 B8 V/ A7 G5 q X( Z) q& G6 @
1 a- A3 Z u, Y( |* t3 q$ {8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415% p% M, ?1 C6 D! j2 R% G8 t
; _' e" p. g! e) N由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
7 w1 {3 k* L# A" r$ {1 H$ D j: G: o6 _& C9 y5 H+ F7 b! g
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
/ c# T2 k7 l9 x% _( {# G
( _+ p C/ F2 _4 }, ?1 L& \ }那么我们可以得出9 A. z% E* B( m# {
- c1 @0 T- d1 e% {# P- `& e$ ]# M
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
0 y% K1 F! g7 _0 e
- {8 k9 a1 ?5 U; r8 k2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 % W( {3 E' H5 ^3 z3 Y: @, K, r
4 b" k# q- P: D7 Y# M7 ?! W
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491! `. t, W) S6 R' T: E& t
, ?( j5 H/ _4 v3 |4 g7 o
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323% S& d: V5 B. T4 D, |3 a8 p: E) U
) F% k: H Z7 l2 H/ P E
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
9 n+ r) B M+ z$ E O l2 k |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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