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[lastpost] => 2687835 【吉祥坊】10月30日投注流水17521元(单日流水) 1730378494 rainwang
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小分3种情况: p4 }( v# }( \
% T+ I4 o0 W1 f7 Z- _
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。: N5 H' J; h9 G m: B
6 k4 F2 O* D0 }- @5 a1 C; d, j/ v
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。% f5 m @$ p4 t+ L: t- N, c
* C5 i% c( F o2 T
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
4 K& d3 t+ Z% j& A3 E2 R0 ?/ o
% B9 N, j1 @# q; A9 R3 o2张牌8或9点的情况有:
! F G+ i( C6 M: N$ D! c; }( J" L: {. ~0 `" T. F3 y0 N
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10. v9 T) Q! s) _$ M& a2 r
# Y7 [( T& i2 {1 [4 K+ q( k1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415- n7 `; s$ b- a. v: Z9 {
' `9 P4 W3 b0 Y+ i, h8 t/ C6 V4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415# g& B' E0 {4 d% E
" o$ [- b) l- F# R
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415) U9 p- i1 Z1 D, b' z1 e
1 _. H7 S f R; `( J+ h8 N$ v由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。/ {: ]' X! b" W% r' {
+ g! U+ m. \, }7 @/ L9 j通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
7 E# ~; @) h8 c8 F. d" w. B) c
9 C' h8 D( ^, ]. C' @那么我们可以得出" H9 a; B/ S# M4 [6 i+ D
) s4 C9 `1 K. ^' d v& ^3 H( Q1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662/ q& U. c* h3 Z; [# ?+ I
! S) Q ~. w. @* F6 R
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
3 i! S% U/ l' s5 x$ T$ D' @; w9 }: O; d w
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
! T" x* J' ]* @4 Q. h! E' W% F' P" G3 w: |2 m
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
; {- Y3 L- Q% O* K$ E: G, X8 y, j( L+ c4 S5 N
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
& ~" h4 Q4 q5 M! z9 P4 @ |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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