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[虚拟币交流]
贝莱德斥资1.25亿美元购买比特币为何令比特币交易员感到不安？（转）
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加密货币市场正面临压力。# d5 x' ]# A# M. X4 G
. ~9 c3 P6 |/ ~截至发稿时，比特币 (比特币) 在未能守住 94,000 美元上方后下跌 2.6%，至 89,596 美元左右的低点。与此同时，以太坊 [以太坊] 也出现类似走势，下跌 3.72% 至 3,038 美元。
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此次剧烈回调加剧了散户投资者的恐慌情绪。然而，在恐慌背后，机构巨头们却在增加投资，加倍下注。
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贝莱德存入了比特币和以太坊
% Y% ]) r' i4 ^6 S, I2 v" i12月5日，贝莱德已存1.255亿美元BTC以及价值 250 万美元的以太坊到 Coinbase。
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分析师泰德·皮洛斯警告说，这可能预示着机构抛售潮的到来，并可能加剧市场的不稳定性。
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他说：
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; i0 A7 a; y" e“销量还会继续增长吗？”
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因此，问题来了：目前的下跌是进一步抛售的信号，还是仅仅是精明的投资者在悄悄地为这轮由 ETF 驱动的周期设定了新的、更高的底线？9 G# T# V7 U* e! t$ `: j R
" F1 s! W: y2 s此举为何引发担忧？4 e" @8 _( @ ?# h
比特币近期价格下跌，未能守住 94,000 美元的关口，这不可避免地将人们的注意力集中在大型机构的动向上，特别是贝莱德数百万美元的比特币存款。ETH到 Coinbase。7 J8 z2 E$ b9 n0 {* F3 |. `2 w9 k/ s3 _
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在加密货币市场中，向交易所的大额转账很快就会被视为看跌信号，主要是因为存在清算风险，因为这会增加可出售的供应量。) s. Y0 H2 n7 ~) P7 t
8 X. D) C9 s1 M: E8 y由于 ETF 资金流出和宏观经济的不确定性已经加剧了市场的紧张情绪，市场对此类波动反应强烈。5 u/ \4 E1 E* @9 v' C. o- S: H
# y5 u% u: k3 B! R因此，如果机构真的进行清算，新增供应可能会压低价格，过去的一些案例也加剧了这种担忧，这些案例表明，大额存款先于价格调整出现。6 m' {0 b8 K9 M- _/ v& o
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对于散户投资者而言，看到大型基金将资产转移到交易平台通常预示着即将出现问题。. J2 _) N+ y1 ?) z' `
( Z3 b& q4 ~0 Y: n然而，这种恐慌忽略了一个关键点：管理数十亿美元的 ETF 通常需要进行与即将出售无关的例行转移。
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还会有更多销售吗？
* `6 n1 I3 [) @/ ]! ` J, w然而，仅凭定金并不能自动转化为后续销售。
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; {4 E A3 q% l1 }7 m1 i: K& C' e对于像贝莱德这样的 ETF 发行商而言，此类基金变动通常反映了日常运营需求、托管调整、赎回处理、再平衡或其他内部工作流程。
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& ^8 w8 y+ l/ E# d; f0 S. Q贝莱德依靠 Coinbase Prime 进行机构托管和大宗交易，这体现了一种系统性的策略，而不是恐慌性抛售。
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3 q! v& @0 o6 }& u3 p1 C6 X通常情况下，这种大额转账是 ETF 创建和赎回过程中的常规步骤，旨在保持价格一致。
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即便如此，技术指标仍然表明短期前景看跌。
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0 ]+ p1 I3 V K1 b截至撰稿时，BTC 的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和移动平均收敛/发散指标 (MACD) 均低于其中性水平，证实了短期至中期内抛售动能的主导地位。
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来源：Trading View
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# T+ e: ^ V' y' T5 e3 T8 O要彻底扭转市场局面，从“熊市主导”转变为“牛市突破”，比特币必须成功突破并守住 98,000 美元的关键阻力位。4 d) T3 h. L' J+ K
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在此之前，市场技术面依然低迷，容易受到波动影响。: ?9 n9 {$ k" ^5 |- }
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最后想说的话
% ], ]" i) R9 g$ P3 a零售市场出现恐慌，但机构市场的行为表明，它们对市场波动的反应要审慎得多。
( h T9 s* }% d技术指标短期内仍然对空头有利，比特币需要重新夺回 98,000 美元才能真正扭转走势。 T8 m7 A4 W6 M- }& W' g
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