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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
5 h' U$ L: ]3 z J1 j5 l6 H
& g7 ?7 Y8 S0 h* r. C' p其实原文标题不是这样的9 S8 ]& S+ d. x$ h
9 ^6 y- x5 i8 k! C5 A3 X/ j这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
' L/ I9 Q# \. n/ `; e+ f1 U# f, a }' I! s& U% K; P7 y5 [
1 @) q, V1 R; e. @
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...9 J, I4 H' G+ a( d6 H8 e
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。3 }6 Q6 }$ A4 w7 E# L8 q2 | o
5 _2 Q* m! a: z, `/ G
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。9 P6 j3 X* _/ V- a8 `$ f3 W
9 m9 q" V6 I' S7 e$ t% m3 b
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
3 b7 k! Z3 m t3 Z; [3 W& K
8 j6 P0 J( Z8 Y/ d2 k5 d「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 7 |1 ], m$ k0 ~9 B
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
- r5 K& v- a6 f! W9 k; f$ C; p9 v3 g- o- [1 i; o
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
, I4 N9 t4 f, a% \: m% Y8 i0 G! R! R ( X/ W+ r) }6 _8 y! n+ h
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，2 v! j7 D* Z( L: S
因此铜板较容易出现正面。- z: v. O7 m1 {' v3 a, f# _
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 . d) C! h" _: ~3 K* }
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
b! ?. s& h5 }2 |( ?* X" k K心想赢定了。
' ~* H. n6 P; O! B4 F" Q $ F$ T. q) m7 Y3 H/ t2 A
没想到开始不到半刻钟，
6 Q% v) N1 @0 t赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
" _2 o& q! q" a5 w: f, q" e8 c6 l
# T9 O( C6 _6 g6 a: d赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
! u6 |. ?% N/ @: X* D3 F8 _6 U但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
0 o$ g% H& i2 T$ D5 H % D! N" C& N5 H7 b
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?& L P; e5 V* W; d$ y: n$ G! y$ U
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 1 U y6 r4 b& M6 u! i
上帝回答道：
0 [ }1 Y$ Z+ G+ d( \5 i5 m( w「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」1 u0 Z B' M$ H% K
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」( b4 i3 z: |3 r& p
「而不是先发生在我身上。」4 k- }1 O' x% G# Z" c0 \. `' P
; y* b7 z4 S+ `1 p
赌徒恍然大悟，9 ]- |: s3 X6 V& F* ]
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
3 l ~: H) Q( p2 Q, w2 J竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！2 t% @$ x: d$ ]/ o3 `. M
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」, L8 d* r3 s3 x% z6 r8 \
上帝说完便不见踪影。 / G5 p( j! K2 e* A( X$ | V6 ^( o$ c% S
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，4 |4 n8 Z5 I! t
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
9 R' Q5 D' M$ e3 [1 g% x& f8 I' E1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
) o* G7 v' E9 v. }; R' `" [对赌徒十分有利。
& Z o6 W9 Z; Q% H9 U
1 t3 x) _' r' j) Q但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
8 B' Z9 X) e0 ?1 ?8 c, A' }' P# [4 T在还没掷到1000次之前，
& J2 s, n- a& G" \# m1 @3 n0 G仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
+ R1 ?, N# c* C; N0 r! O
* y& j. K$ f/ W7 L1 v# P 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
6 D0 T7 y5 ~/ @+ k3 x- }+ a
" ?) S8 Z/ l' {( ^, I 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
2 a( B, @- p1 l0 R' @6 a
- l, O1 k$ b5 P' f3 o P 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
5 C9 o) S L$ l5 e4 r
/ l% U, I- v' n2 ]- b5 D 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ , y$ E; y$ v. o) M S/ D
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