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[lastpost] => 2798925 关税换领土？特朗普的“购岛计划”如何撼动全球金融市场？（转） 1769048883 舞出精彩
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 C) Z$ c! q: K+ Q `0 N% k0 ?
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因. 5 ~6 Z% m3 M& j& ] @8 m
此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。
3 A' p4 d4 r4 n以太坊基金集体亏损 1 l- g! M% k6 @# z6 m* ], R
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。 2 @0 d% a- |8 p' s& K; a7 v& J
与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。 4 w# n: W& B, K) U) `. l4 o' y
与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。 ) n) d$ c8 a( W6 q% P5 g
7 X) ^% ^: ?7 [/ B编辑切换为居中 + ~0 g& J. A3 k. G
流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
; }& D" F1 H, `6 o6 Y这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 ( P( V5 D, s( T, j
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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编辑切换为居中
) H0 o' a- C' V& D6月5日的TVL以太坊
. }1 S2 r( Z" k& I2 R但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。
. t, f. w: M/ {* h! X宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 6 g9 a, x; c- D6 V% `
男性讲述金融时报: - m0 Z+ o" [ O. W
“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面 ! _0 D. K! a3 k" r s" Z" o
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。
% I+ U; L" r; Q3 B1 O" O( B2 U具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
- {0 _, h3 U8 D4 r$ D根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。
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/ J- ~& Y% ` f1 Y. n编辑切换为居中 + @/ x7 B. u2 s* n% Z0 _) O# r
ETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 : W: k# T0 W* y, Q4 V, U0 c
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
. f. [: x3 V- v交易所的ETH储备正在增加 8 V. _5 u# [6 u0 _6 Z& I6 s/ c/ p2 U7 a6 ^
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
3 C" Z9 I6 b" W* |+ p0 |自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 a( a; \/ ]7 v" s: W
p( z$ b. L# b1 D6 Q# H# K& W编辑切换为居中
4 A4 x0 {. [: p- a: f以太坊外汇储备
1 T8 |9 V0 k+ x U$ k通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。 1 V9 |- Z' B) X; C" \
来源：金色财经 |
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