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[lastpost] => 2807252 以太坊 2026 年转型：为什么基于证明的验证对节点至关重要（转） 1771501378 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。3 y+ J p3 y8 s
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。1 d! K! V! R" R
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。+ `- `- f- w0 Y, K: i, O
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
' [# i4 r+ D0 A# V2 ^+ r5 u从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。' U( g5 L. R1 g( a/ V8 Z* e9 S
alt/btc/ V- m* u' B4 w- a4 z8 h, n
alt/usdt6 o8 h1 N. y+ |: u* Q. Q) n
那么，发生了什么？+ }& j: c' I( j9 m( @) _! y6 v Z* Y
1. 大户轮换资金3 @+ w% l, T( b. S- J* a
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
7 v. ]5 t2 C9 n _# L+ b9 d这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。/ J5 x! V# W) t
但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
6 w0 c8 {3 T w0 W( ]+ p: ?* l2. 市场的防御心理
% O# K- C" J/ ^7 I5 s投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
7 l, X% }) d3 P9 Y& s这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。: J# o2 f ~1 I5 @
3. 需要关注的信号: X" `- j$ U& P: v- F8 m
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
* @5 n" I- \9 b$ o, ~山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
7 ?! S% f! }1 o% t7 s3 t2 v0 d+ MUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
% l. R; l, {+ s& B* B4. 对投资者的意义
8 R; R& f, @; J# U9 q* c6 x在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
+ ~7 s9 \2 U G& g* A如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。- G0 C9 z( t# I5 _9 _
安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。# i# P- I8 {) @: {7 I, ]
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
1 u3 A# R5 y* `( }#加密货币#+ l1 \- z- J# u8 }: f
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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