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[lastpost] => 2782549 阿根廷LIBRA调查接近尾声，但最终报告发布前已有5800万美元资金转移（转） 1763504215 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
% `2 Q# X8 b( j2 }) }. UAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。& I" ~) e9 I2 C) s6 s9 F
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
& U! l4 l# U/ c你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。! U6 ~- D' Y+ \! U( N
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。
( I6 a3 |7 }9 P8 salt/btc
2 L' f+ g6 K; @4 F5 Salt/usdt5 y$ X% d# t8 {9 |' X5 q3 d& z
那么，发生了什么？
% [/ T5 z" ?- y: N3 g1. 大户轮换资金
" y6 F4 k% T( g1 s& w. ~* V9 M与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
4 o1 _; u3 y4 b6 W这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
2 Y. Q4 @% |5 _) \ i但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
+ K; \7 z' h, s+ v2. 市场的防御心理5 J, N2 q! h- T/ i, N# F2 I& ~
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。. X" z: D, M2 D: E7 U. t2 M3 J9 G
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。
( _$ U# ^6 O; M/ N! n( k: Q$ d3. 需要关注的信号* p' k+ E, @' Z2 ?1 x% v4 n
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。1 p0 P. v5 {: b2 {2 J% R, s
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
" j: ]9 C/ v' h% r+ e/ ]USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
' [- h9 B, S* ^3 y8 [: N% w2 Y4. 对投资者的意义' e& _, v# z6 v# y
在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
% i" D. ]7 p; }+ ^3 n# i( p) s如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
- m) g+ @# o- g4 T5 V' j安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。: Y% ^1 S# ]+ s5 S w" y6 P& z
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
6 w5 c1 f1 Y$ U; }/ e. u9 t#加密货币#5 ?1 n; C) H- k# B) Y% s
3 F1 d9 v H. ^8 j5 ~ Z* h1 h
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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