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[lastpost] => 2798097 卡尔达诺(Cardano)价格逼近0.40美元，面临巨大抛售压力（转） 1769355062 叫我十三
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？
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; J) B$ ]5 P, }- C以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。
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目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。3 D% B2 p6 h- w; _" j
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对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易& c" L' F; a6 |
但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。$ ]) C8 v( _' H# g# {5 @4 _# P( v
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这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。' m* ]( L# h6 d
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事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。
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此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。
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0 ~4 C d9 x6 m) H$ g同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。# M8 Y8 x/ f {5 ^" R1 O
7 D" X. E) `, l9 {. NETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此
: V% K: {3 Q( S. w" ~0 C; M# B. l事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。
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) b, X& x; r6 V0 h" r" e5 Y与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。! S$ f; j. z; w* W y( w" g' ?: t# E5 G
1 Z( t1 }8 t3 i难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。$ w9 W& r- Y# B5 B
$ v% p! Y; N3 |' L* G现货需求也受到追捧7 t0 N' c% x, I, O
但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。
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事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。( q7 q& G/ e6 C' q( ~
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Coinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,$ `- K: A3 s. ]/ l% z, Y8 O& B3 A1 q% V
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“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”4 U3 p: ^* I! }
. ^: j1 }) D. @/ {8 T$ G, [0 ]这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。9 Z" j" ]6 ~; e/ e1 S& X
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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