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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？. G, y& @2 f% g4 O. B8 f7 y
: o3 b1 _& ?* f& O以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。# Y+ |+ A- s H7 G4 c" P
- t ]+ D) H. o- w目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。1 K' o8 h& m8 i- ^, B' s' `" C8 o
& Z4 N" q$ `3 q$ F# h- Q# E对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易- L2 ?2 M% Z) X/ q* E% X
但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。% O' N& [% K8 B4 N0 f4 k- ?
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这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。3 s& Q0 d: G' s4 _, c; V) m
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事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。
3 X4 G; U' k& B
0 N# ]# C: F' B/ f9 C |此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。, R' O1 X7 m! n. i) Z: I- v
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同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此
4 I5 u% P3 q: _- D% o1 C! ^" J事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。
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1 C5 O' v6 ] p; n' v. e与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。5 g3 t4 U- D9 x% u' l1 X, w) O
( r% K& H4 _) w( L1 ]6 V! p9 \# m难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。; v% B+ j3 S6 [: w2 v- x
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现货需求也受到追捧: c! {5 x7 u" V1 g
但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。
! @8 m( K) ^4 r8 n6 U3 X& I
6 F+ \7 h# [+ u; X/ X事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。0 A3 t/ O, f# N; n! n
* O3 X; Q4 N5 m/ H5 K( t( _- OCoinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,
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" ?9 x% Z8 o) s* T' @7 ?, ~4 M“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”
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这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。: @3 r; m' C6 C: b* x- l' W
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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