Array
(
[fid] => 6934
[description] => 新人学习的板块，以便快速熟悉论坛
[password] =>
[icon] => 10/common_6934_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[981] => 板块公告
[982] => 新手课堂
[983] => 新手提问
[984] => 新手任务
[987] => 活动推介
[986] => 综合讨论
[1103] => 实战交流
[1526] => 自我介绍
[1527] => 首次擂台投注
[1528] => 存款直升
[1529] => 提款直升
)
[icons] => Array
(
[981] =>
[982] =>
[983] =>
[984] =>
[987] =>
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[981] => 1
[982] => 1
[983] =>
[984] => 1
[987] => 1
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#FF00CC";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"48";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 新手大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 7
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 7808
[posts] => 55449
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 26
[oldrank] => 9
[lastpost] => 2780092 F88星宝 靠谱吗 他是哪个俱乐部的赞助商 1767182710 忙碌中
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 1
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 / k f0 [5 s6 I0 V' O! b
' i4 @1 S* T3 b; Y% {7 v7 g其实原文标题不是这样的- l, P2 I& k4 Y, o9 }
]( T! r/ Q9 v2 W$ n; r( R
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
2 A! E* B8 V8 Y2 X$ T+ K; e6 t) I- Q
* e8 J% U' M- X0 D0 O
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
1 Z$ y* q- T4 `7 x$ E, S他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
1 A& _6 U9 {4 D2 ]# [; |2 ~) a9 F6 r( X+ ` N X$ x9 e
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
: {# z2 l4 L% R1 z: ^# d _( ^
: a; \, v/ M" E8 q" F 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」& |) d4 H0 a; `; @
" U* R. n4 ]' x" x. y( o% [8 C8 U
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 # w, e5 Y+ G" A' G6 H. H+ Q$ x
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」6 J( u |- t, Y1 n" W6 T6 V; b8 ]
& a7 `+ Z9 a w8 E2 u$ Z @ 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
4 g: V ?6 I: |
' J; [# G7 N, q) c1 p+ a接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
/ R) |0 t+ E. J' P因此铜板较容易出现正面。
1 ~3 Z5 o) |! t. T" D0 ?3 d- y- X% Y长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
8 [( Z. Z2 N) U& H因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。) i' W9 Y9 |' J6 U# d
心想赢定了。; H0 o- \, Z( @: J: J. s
3 E) Q5 z- O' i2 i1 ?
没想到开始不到半刻钟，9 l9 c. u U0 c D# c' z
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
* ?! P* t$ j$ d* Z8 O& O& @3 t% c
4 ~. p/ W7 O# A+ e0 q赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，- [# h' i0 R* i& A/ q
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。8 [; Z5 A$ b/ `& @
' x3 e5 e: w0 j赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?0 @1 \1 p5 O8 l3 y: ~0 Q8 p4 Z" f
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 3 q" r- b$ ?9 r, }: B; N2 k, }/ N
上帝回答道：
$ l- ^$ b4 Q0 v「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」* `, X% N) ^% n' b3 s, u& z& M
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
! \- h! r* {* L「而不是先发生在我身上。」7 j5 X5 u6 g2 [6 j* D: w& w. z
8 @6 |$ L3 L$ K7 t& Z
赌徒恍然大悟，
. ?( p6 _7 T$ ^, Z& A- N原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
+ a. N/ f& s2 K; W竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！$ h! d! A+ |; w* H' t0 j T" j
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」2 J1 u j9 X! K1 r8 Z
上帝说完便不见踪影。
" B- W( E- G7 R3 F
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，; D( {! ]. `" H+ s
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，, y u0 z% [6 c3 q; Z6 A
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
u2 Y* h' {3 Q* ^$ ]6 E A对赌徒十分有利。5 J5 F; f9 {7 x( q1 d% i5 @1 L
; @1 e! L5 g: _: c但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
& M! S# U* [9 a+ I+ S; B在还没掷到1000次之前，9 O' c4 e( c- ^9 W& p; r* h
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
( p; Q6 J! ` v+ a1 H1 P# c, h- j) V a9 C
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。$ \% x G* J7 T5 `
' ^: S) T1 g2 u+ b4 X& `9 n# @# b 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
7 Z/ e" n! s, c: |5 p5 `6 s' S& [* k
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
2 a* B& z j& u" U5 X0 I: L* T. P) f" F& n2 @( X1 g* D
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ ( ]! P9 M% \7 m: \
7 g$ |2 j* L( V2 e. P' t |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
