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[lastpost] => 2656208 【E世博】6月11日投注流水65602元(单日流水) 1718113747 rainwang
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小分3种情况:! P! h& a; ?+ z+ B9 N
9 P) q+ B& @5 }& [) k! B1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
6 X4 W1 g( X4 n) X& `( [3 @ Y* ~7 ~ H8 H. t; H
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
& E- g7 z5 H. L) D8 Y! R
3 m" k1 z' o, D3 g0 G3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
8 Y* u1 H# u0 l1 A$ V, k8 r
+ u* D+ @5 D; Y5 p2 R; p2张牌8或9点的情况有:
% b3 n" @4 R; d9 V7 R
6 C$ s- o* y* E+ n% p7 b4 Y1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+101 D/ a$ M) F+ K, ^
2 w9 q( X/ t" p1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
! n. x# H' H$ M. G2 w+ q5 U/ l, e! K+ p/ V! ?. R2 J* ]: J! {
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415: ?3 D( }( \2 v, N# `
6 Z) V6 D, J1 U( A- b0 i
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4159 c7 V9 y$ C- X+ @% X# V
% ^* N8 S9 \0 O) m/ V S
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。+ X7 U1 E- ]/ J; x' }
) G, c1 p0 I2 y1 A& Z$ [8 g; F通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
* h5 F9 c6 t9 q. N5 T' @. S$ K+ Y; T! s4 ?
那么我们可以得出
8 N& |1 E. ~3 _1 b
9 H" g2 L8 {1 |- u8 ?1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
+ M" ~ J' c4 ?( k8 d9 Z
, j; Z% D& [: x. w' B2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 ) {, Z5 V1 n$ T4 J: @8 Q
- j9 z4 g! h9 u: x
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
6 F1 E: S& ~5 i, H
6 `" m1 d. Z( x7 ^所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
; {7 ~8 R, H) d+ ]( o1 Y2 }: R
; X1 @1 L( Q$ H5 y: c百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677* m4 @1 W& R& J2 O7 b
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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