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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，# e2 l" v! g. h; G6 g
% V9 c. [& W8 E/ C4 m' l1 V- B比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
* o7 y) Q! F* A# s$ a- h* V我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
: P2 f' e, @) @ y# F/ Y
3 x. ?! O! s5 J, M4 t1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在7 b- v3 ^/ o1 S) Z; L
9 l, }1 I. |6 B' x4 O4 W& z没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过' t* |; y+ a# q% o4 Y# C, O* y
, z* l1 y) |+ {" Y中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全 x/ q- q8 m: A6 D$ t
$ T& g8 U7 i" @. ~+ L去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5 S' |$ L5 E9 s7 V
: J' Z& f5 J( D+ v9 Y; Y) P+ V
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
" V4 x) e4 f& F, |& W$ o: @
6 v# K ? H9 [8 H# RLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
+ H; F2 L" R: g2 Q/ A
. v/ J3 O& U1 ^1 s- k. T5 K3 AETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
$ d9 s7 w9 O( I9 A2 _9 ]8 F7 W' l1 M0 Q
美金）。 q+ R2 [6 _: V* i5 |# }( W6 I! x
/ [3 l0 J8 y' S: r
$ E$ |( k: ?3 n' [. [# v9 A( `: V2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态! q* o7 \$ ~/ N1 i: d+ v3 R
, `7 I; S- l" y) o
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
) l$ V) F& ~ y# a; c' D. ^& v# P) g" V3 g5 b+ j$ z
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。! Q5 s) F7 P; @/ m# g8 F, b
% \+ X+ V$ |3 a6 w; m* e- W7 ~+ Q
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
! B5 p. ]8 g+ |- a- d$ _ [4 h$ j+ c) b: @+ Y" E- G8 y" O
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
& I) J0 N( C5 |+ ?2 M
) a0 L, \6 {. x% r$ h4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
) K4 F! ~6 _- d! i. ^ H( S
$ l9 \: G2 S {/ f约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
6 `+ _% B& _: s `; _5 n- c# w3 d/ `: T Q1 I- m. Q/ C# n
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
& \3 `# T k% h7 |' O% m. `' U$ T; K
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。! N: _; k: D3 d' u% u. g6 Q; Z% ^
7 N( m6 n3 m7 |, ^+ `. h9 P
/ V) j" |7 o k, t
, R- A% c; j3 `& @% N9 Y |
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