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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
* v$ [+ U1 b( V8 j8 a0 k0 y& ?! T* }( N9 E/ ~9 U& j
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？7 _2 Z" J+ l% m0 i. D
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：& \# X8 R8 F6 |. C# l* O. p2 k
* w8 a4 F8 I M$ q" F
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在" ]2 O$ I6 r; D5 R( Y
- `: f4 t7 a; p9 ? [. a: d没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
# U# \8 w! N8 z2 H3 u- [/ q0 j
/ F; u( G9 F2 j- C" S中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
) Y x9 H6 V5 A3 q8 p! \/ B
1 [- p# k$ W' z8 _" i, m; ^去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长2 M& |& N6 e* R0 f* N, b
4 A' y& N! L: v! C
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH " ?' ~+ l, y1 ~7 u% J
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Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和/ d+ ?% F* h) S0 K0 e) }
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ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
3 ?0 t! o1 i2 V- }% s: T
' M9 ~2 U4 [! K! M; S( A美金）。5 v; ?' S. Y3 w
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2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态; @: G) i$ v; `3 W6 t7 A( ~% w
* v+ z n% f+ g6 U2 z0 v
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
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. |6 o4 F7 ^* J( d( l1 n9 K构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
% e" S# b1 v* P8 Q( `! d+ F' g$ U* C- L y! F# F* _
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户 I6 D6 Z1 o0 L# v: k3 |
5 B( j2 f* |+ q' |9 M尤其大资金的信任和青睐。! t' o+ Q4 z6 i' E" h
' Z5 ~6 x4 G9 A" ?! ^8 l* `* |4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL5 D) ^6 N! b2 V4 o7 d5 z2 ?, P
3 c/ K3 \& h0 c9 K1 }* \
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如1 l+ C1 m$ g+ Y4 r
( [+ [( v6 V# w ?8 W# l4 J- \果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美! g' m9 E$ U5 h7 V9 {" `" w
% z3 {9 B2 R8 D+ M/ U/ {金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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