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[lastpost] => 2813458 详解ERC-8183：以太坊攻坚AI Agent互信难题的答案（转） 1774467745 叫我十三
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人
, U9 y, X; Z8 V2 n+ U$ n/ B& {7 w' r
认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，
# I7 j; H$ p2 ]9 r& D' d; \! L' p' p0 k; R
而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富6 {$ Y- y) f3 J0 B# r7 x) E4 z% B
( `; G8 p1 o/ [& Y. T# k i的千禧一代。
+ Z3 b6 Q [! J9 k从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB+ z, v) _2 c- C* ], B
4 ?) C( D5 F% ^1 k( X的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“
+ ~9 B9 ^( D, r# t5 q: b' Z1 X+ U, C! e* t* d
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加
/ z- |& w6 ?3 W! C$ {9 k/ V9 t6 ] Z% u* f5 B
密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据
+ K4 e e7 _6 v! b4 h2 w( o- }$ Q0 B# d/ R- |/ {& U
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成
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/ p* O) G& h+ E. Y的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》* [; P! A+ R; C, h" v0 ]9 V
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报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；
! L& V, @ V" P- H7 `
8 N2 x( h; f4 b4 v6 x10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为
/ R) E+ r$ S( Y# Q8 }* [9 W: T: `0 r! X" O
ETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。. I! c- I/ Q) L6 @2 o
9 s0 n! |" V" h+ ~据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降# L' t# S: [5 \( Y6 Y7 v4 d
4 D( Q& H8 g" e0 C% n息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。# w/ H2 t* @1 x2 u/ Q$ p, Q
/ G" M2 j, k' W4 g与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密# q# n w6 ? B
5 U; ~/ v2 j* X4 E q9 T
世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富3 l1 z4 F7 C* S% Q) e1 s, x
6 ^5 K' n4 J j4 D) y, n O" |传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不/ u$ |$ `# g" ?4 X
. I9 j2 L7 v) Q3 F. n, M到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
& S! r( _3 ?+ J% c2 o* J0 N" e
* H9 i+ e2 B5 W3 L- d& F3 ~代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成 c- m( s% M0 u% U3 P6 z
3 [& s4 t6 p, Z- C/ f+ t4 Y$ J
本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体$ H0 T( R+ v* G& E) d2 e
% \3 l( L5 }8 c$ Q& {1 b: ~0 R系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货& O4 N0 n$ V; |: z1 t$ R2 `
+ U V& V: n+ O" ]币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
4 ^1 M; g2 p$ \6 U8 t7 O) }: u3 ^
5 _$ ` Z0 o8 M! \0 n2 |未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富! F4 K, ]3 t# |$ a2 s
+ w! U9 f( j+ S
/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。/ `% i/ E9 W7 C8 ?: F, Y
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当前离线
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