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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
, T& y2 [ G& j( Z" |( S. W' R; `" h: F比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
' U7 ?' |0 t" N6 _9 O% P# J比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。4 E8 t6 o8 T( P E+ }6 |9 M
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。5 h/ t/ [+ I+ X3 D( H
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…! u+ q1 s+ a! ^% _3 L/ S
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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- u" F3 t. r! t% m但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。6 t5 D! v# o* B: ], Y: f# X
1 @1 p; y+ y; _, Y- L W3 C这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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) d" D" ~# `" r$ t* d* n" X然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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8 X1 x6 O, |2 V( p9 w# J估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
1 \* t' X" N2 g* V. X5 Q0 j$ U几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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+ ?; e! z I; b% b! XPUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。5 o$ n5 v$ A0 x, B: k
/ r+ S! s! c% C2 r3 J同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 2 j. c0 T+ c# e6 E z* z
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。. Z5 h8 `7 R; T4 L) Q2 B
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 + b' U! F, e/ b: P
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。9 h3 f( ^0 f9 ]
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？$ i: @5 T- m/ y7 H. R
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 " z; n: E g8 R! y
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