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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。1 R4 F8 R; ?9 k/ z- |
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
- o/ H V0 C0 d; F& s: Y8 i比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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/ k1 y; e B' ^尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
8 R( o* r+ [- y7 V$ V# @% e! L
+ N, {1 h: f3 u9 W+ e# V鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
9 B9 g6 _/ p; H1 D+ G/ f' ~' j e鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。) k# x+ ^3 [# S
/ L! V! F9 o' U8 U- |! ]4 G) I但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。( U1 @, ]8 T2 U' i; ~+ w
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。7 r& T$ ~0 v2 I, { u, q' U
, H0 v L9 @2 k" C- ^4 C) o最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。+ M- |' W' `4 s
, ?+ _/ n" c ]# b' x) r这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
$ B5 c1 e9 @. Q$ u: o
: y* e, o# v, ` q5 G) {. [9 I然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。' o2 x) Q) c) Y1 d
: y! A0 W/ ]0 D估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
" _# w4 d( ^! h$ ^- s; h6 Y. Y几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
% N- ~9 I, E8 k" I* Q' o( W2 H3 k% N
0 m" A; w& {1 d2 [# U U5 Q/ l @PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。8 B$ L- U- M. w
9 m" ]6 X4 D2 E7 w1 \) C, Y9 B
同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
: N1 c9 U/ A1 F2 O9 s6 Z7 w( C7 z8 C! J* p- y& |
相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。: H) n- ^" a- b2 ?! C! Y4 K
9 f, j& \% X- h* |5 G! A* U
此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
8 Y1 d/ J$ a0 p) {' b I" k. N* _6 \& W1 y- [- N, Y' a# W9 A: Z) z! \
如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
1 ^6 a6 }3 e& q* g' N4 k) n0 S! d+ ^- n
结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。" f# s5 M# p- M' _
! r) s+ G4 W- s$ S+ aBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？8 B7 }9 i0 o# S$ _' b
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
$ w& i( v c* Y+ j. e1 R
5 d9 l# n' |/ L但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
' ^/ G, M1 k( @: b4 p" G+ r3 P- G3 e2 i* v9 |$ K1 h# g. ]! p0 S
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