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[lastpost] => 2766586 比特币价格突破 114,000 美元后转为看涨，并形成隐藏分歧（转） 1758181947 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？
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9 T* G! x7 H# ?/ v! d* e' W8 ]& ^以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。0 c: C! \& v2 r0 u
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目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。9 V/ O: F0 H1 f! E
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对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易8 G/ ~3 F, D R* m% A9 J ]6 y
但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。! M) [$ ?3 Z) ~/ m
' c$ j" C6 c0 L% u, T+ M这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。/ y, Y0 V! B+ g6 ^8 M
# S/ c- B+ x- K/ O% {事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。' k8 ^" }3 U* J% ~: O2 \9 g
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此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。5 b. u7 \& b$ {7 }) S; m- b# I# X
/ e3 J$ d0 V; l6 B1 `: J7 c$ ?同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。 d1 [3 M3 J( ]9 o
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此. f: F$ ]& a# b* c
事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。
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) A3 J! O6 X8 M) R与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。* r1 {# Z6 R* C7 ?: ^- N ~% o2 ]
& S$ f8 N) b b3 b难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。# ]/ D- L! Z- \/ q; p8 D
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现货需求也受到追捧/ r2 Q+ n4 g0 {. a; ^2 _% `
但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。
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# n; |" b# @9 ]5 B. [6 B, X5 y0 a事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。
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9 q2 n: f2 Z4 x4 n, BCoinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,: K& }- `: X8 U2 ~( c
+ K8 |5 O" M P5 e2 m“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”9 f! ?' J7 p5 H3 O9 k
( j' V# d2 {1 C: n" p- {; A这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。" s" e7 H0 R3 a- Y( u
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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